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Hume CityPopulation forecast

Greenvale (North)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Greenvale (North) indicate a 198.6% increase in population under working age, a 225.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 176.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Greenvale (North) is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Greenvale (North) - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 455612.21,41911.01,2438.9+687
5 to 93658.01,1959.21,1098.0+744
10 to 142816.29757.51,0107.3+729
15 to 192756.18126.39446.8+669
20 to 242585.78326.49086.5+649
25 to 2948310.61,1088.69887.1+505
30 to 3456512.41,32910.31,0927.9+526
35 to 3945710.01,2599.71,0487.5+592
40 to 443477.61,0217.99446.8+596
45 to 492806.28256.49226.6+642
50 to 542164.86204.88666.2+649
55 to 591543.44953.87775.6+623
60 to 641072.33762.96404.6+533
65 to 69791.72692.14973.6+419
70 to 74661.51741.33822.7+316
75 to 79200.41110.92792.0+259
80 to 84350.8780.61661.2+131
85 and over40.1310.2750.5+72
Total persons4,548100.012,930100.013,890100.0+9,342
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Greenvale (North) was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 12.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 862 and account for 11.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 1,419 persons.

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