Bega Valley ShirePopulation forecast
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Bermagui Coast - Wapengo & District

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Bermagui Coast - Wapengo & District indicate a 10.3% decrease in population under working age, a 43.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.8% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bega Valley Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bermagui Coast - Wapengo & District - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41074.4793.1862.9-20
5 to 9903.7913.51063.5+17
10 to 141054.31013.91113.7+6
15 to 191375.6692.7822.7-55
20 to 24512.1562.2571.9+6
25 to 29662.7793.1712.4+6
30 to 34873.6682.6852.8-3
35 to 39733.0863.31093.6+36
40 to 44843.51064.11224.0+38
45 to 491084.4963.71214.0+14
50 to 541807.41475.71866.2+6
55 to 5924810.22037.92367.8-12
60 to 6430212.426810.42959.8-7
65 to 6928311.631312.133311.0+51
70 to 742279.431012.033111.0+103
75 to 791566.42339.02829.3+125
80 to 84682.81586.12277.5+159
85 and over582.41194.61775.9+119
Total persons2,429100.02,582100.03,018100.0+589

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 177 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 227 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 282 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 331 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 333 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 295 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 236 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 186 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 121 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 122 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 109 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 85 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 71 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 57 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 82 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 111 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 106 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 86 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 119 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 158 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 233 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 310 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 313 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 268 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 203 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 147 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 96 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 106 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 86 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 68 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 79 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 56 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 69 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 101 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 91 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 79 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 58 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 68 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 156 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 227 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 283 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 302 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 248 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 180 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 108 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 84 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 73 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 87 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 66 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 51 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 137 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 105 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 90 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 107
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 58 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 70 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 49 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 27 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 34 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 39 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 26 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 16 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 22 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 16 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -8 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 15 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 62 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 90 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 77 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 82 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 30 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -33 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -45 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -32 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -12 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 22 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -19 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 4 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -68 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -4 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 1 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -28
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Bermagui Coast - Wapengo & District was ages 60 to 64, which accounted for 12.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 80 to 84, which is expected to increase by 90 and account for 6.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 313 persons.

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