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Bega Valley ShirePopulation forecast

Rural West

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Rural West indicate a 19.1% decrease in population under working age, a 66.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 15.9% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Rural West is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Rural West - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41244.41334.81294.7+5
5 to 91866.61475.31495.4-37
10 to 142187.71475.31525.5-66
15 to 191806.41364.91204.4-59
20 to 24562.01083.9802.9+24
25 to 291154.1953.4853.1-30
30 to 34973.5853.0973.50
35 to 39782.81063.81023.7+25
40 to 441314.61184.21154.2-16
45 to 492217.81304.71395.0-82
50 to 5428310.01806.51706.2-113
55 to 5931011.02488.91937.0-116
60 to 6430410.828610.32248.1-81
65 to 692488.828610.32519.1+3
70 to 741435.12549.12499.0+106
75 to 79582.11866.72228.1+164
80 to 84451.6933.41706.2+125
85 and over250.9461.61073.9+83
Total persons2,821100.02,785100.02,754100.0-67
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Rural West was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 11.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 128 and account for 6.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 286 persons.

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