Bega Valley ShirePopulation forecast
Skip to content

Bega Rural

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Bega Rural indicate a 12.0% decrease in population under working age, a 47.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.8% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bega Valley Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bega Rural - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41506.71084.81094.7-41
5 to 91305.81155.11195.1-11
10 to 141526.81577.01456.3-7
15 to 191797.91315.81275.5-52
20 to 241135.0914.1934.0-20
25 to 291034.61004.5853.7-17
30 to 341014.51135.01104.8+9
35 to 391697.51305.81335.7-36
40 to 441627.21396.21476.3-15
45 to 491366.01617.21506.5+15
50 to 541546.91667.41546.70
55 to 591848.21617.21767.6-8
60 to 641808.01747.71837.9+3
65 to 691305.81687.51586.8+28
70 to 74853.81406.21416.1+56
75 to 79602.71004.51335.8+74
80 to 84401.8572.5954.1+56
85 and over221.0331.5532.3+31
Total persons2,248100.02,244100.02,311100.0+63

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 53 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 95 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 133 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 141 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 158 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 183 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 176 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 154 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 150 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 147 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 133 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 110 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 85 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 93 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 127 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 145 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 119 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 109 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 33 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 100 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 140 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 168 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 174 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 161 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 166 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 161 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 139 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 130 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 113 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 100 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 91 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 131 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 157 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 115 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 108 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 22 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 40 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 60 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 85 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 130 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 180 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 184 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 154 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 136 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 162 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 169 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 101 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 103 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 113 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 179 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 152 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 130 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 150
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 20 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 38 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 33 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -10 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 15 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -12 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: -11 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -15 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -4 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -13 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 11 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 40 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 55 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 38 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -6 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -23 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 12 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 26 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -23 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -38 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 12 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -2 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -22 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -48 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 5 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -14 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -42
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Bega Rural was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 55 and account for 6.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 174 persons.

v19.10.16-1.0.0