Bega Valley ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Bega Valley Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Bega Valley Shire is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,190 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Bega Valley ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--1,5291,5241,5181,531
Deaths--1,5691,7441,9452,169
Natural increase/decrease---40-220-427-638
Net migration--1,0041,1471,4251,799
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--44403030

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 241 2035 forecast population change: 234 2034 forecast population change: 243 2033 forecast population change: 220 2032 forecast population change: 252 2031 forecast population change: 256 2030 forecast population change: 220 2029 forecast population change: 201 2028 forecast population change: 185 2027 forecast population change: 167 2026 forecast population change: 204 2025 forecast population change: 230 2024 forecast population change: 186 2023 forecast population change: 182 2022 forecast population change: 166 2021 forecast population change: 205 2020 forecast population change: 208 2019 forecast population change: 182 2018 forecast population change: 194 2017 forecast population change: 219
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: -143 2035 Natural increase: -135 2034 Natural increase: -128 2033 Natural increase: -120 2032 Natural increase: -113 2031 Natural increase: -103 2030 Natural increase: -95 2029 Natural increase: -87 2028 Natural increase: -76 2027 Natural increase: -66 2026 Natural increase: -59 2025 Natural increase: -53 2024 Natural increase: -44 2023 Natural increase: -35 2022 Natural increase: -29 2021 Natural increase: -21 2020 Natural increase: -11 2019 Natural increase: -7 2018 Natural increase: -1 2017 Natural increase: 1 2036 Total deaths: 451 2035 Total deaths: 442 2034 Total deaths: 434 2033 Total deaths: 425 2032 Total deaths: 417 2031 Total deaths: 407 2030 Total deaths: 398 2029 Total deaths: 390 2028 Total deaths: 380 2027 Total deaths: 370 2026 Total deaths: 363 2025 Total deaths: 358 2024 Total deaths: 349 2023 Total deaths: 340 2022 Total deaths: 334 2021 Total deaths: 327 2020 Total deaths: 317 2019 Total deaths: 313 2018 Total deaths: 308 2017 Total deaths: 305 2036 Total births: 308 2035 Total births: 307 2034 Total births: 306 2033 Total births: 305 2032 Total births: 304 2031 Total births: 304 2030 Total births: 303 2029 Total births: 303 2028 Total births: 304 2027 Total births: 304 2026 Total births: 305 2025 Total births: 305 2024 Total births: 305 2023 Total births: 305 2022 Total births: 305 2021 Total births: 305 2020 Total births: 305 2019 Total births: 306 2018 Total births: 306 2017 Total births: 306 2036 Natural increase: -143 2035 Natural increase: -135 2034 Natural increase: -128 2033 Natural increase: -120 2032 Natural increase: -113 2031 Natural increase: -103 2030 Natural increase: -95 2029 Natural increase: -87 2028 Natural increase: -76 2027 Natural increase: -66 2026 Natural increase: -59 2025 Natural increase: -53 2024 Natural increase: -44 2023 Natural increase: -35 2022 Natural increase: -29 2021 Natural increase: -21 2020 Natural increase: -11 2019 Natural increase: -7 2018 Natural increase: -1 2017 Natural increase: 1 2036 Total deaths: 451 2035 Total deaths: 442 2034 Total deaths: 434 2033 Total deaths: 425 2032 Total deaths: 417 2031 Total deaths: 407 2030 Total deaths: 398 2029 Total deaths: 390 2028 Total deaths: 380 2027 Total deaths: 370 2026 Total deaths: 363 2025 Total deaths: 358 2024 Total deaths: 349 2023 Total deaths: 340 2022 Total deaths: 334 2021 Total deaths: 327 2020 Total deaths: 317 2019 Total deaths: 313 2018 Total deaths: 308 2017 Total deaths: 305 2036 Total births: 308 2035 Total births: 307 2034 Total births: 306 2033 Total births: 305 2032 Total births: 304 2031 Total births: 304 2030 Total births: 303 2029 Total births: 303 2028 Total births: 304 2027 Total births: 304 2026 Total births: 305 2025 Total births: 305 2024 Total births: 305 2023 Total births: 305 2022 Total births: 305 2021 Total births: 305 2020 Total births: 305 2019 Total births: 306 2018 Total births: 306 2017 Total births: 306
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 384 2035 Total net migration: 369 2034 Total net migration: 371 2033 Total net migration: 340 2032 Total net migration: 335 2031 Total net migration: 329 2030 Total net migration: 315 2029 Total net migration: 288 2028 Total net migration: 261 2027 Total net migration: 233 2026 Total net migration: 263 2025 Total net migration: 243 2024 Total net migration: 230 2023 Total net migration: 217 2022 Total net migration: 195 2021 Total net migration: 204 2020 Total net migration: 198 2019 Total net migration: 189 2018 Total net migration: 195 2017 Total net migration: 218 2036 Total out migration: 2,510 2035 Total out migration: 2,495 2034 Total out migration: 2,479 2033 Total out migration: 2,466 2032 Total out migration: 2,452 2031 Total out migration: 2,438 2030 Total out migration: 2,425 2029 Total out migration: 2,416 2028 Total out migration: 2,408 2027 Total out migration: 2,402 2026 Total out migration: 2,394 2025 Total out migration: 2,388 2024 Total out migration: 2,385 2023 Total out migration: 2,381 2022 Total out migration: 2,376 2021 Total out migration: 2,372 2020 Total out migration: 2,367 2019 Total out migration: 2,364 2018 Total out migration: 2,359 2017 Total out migration: 2,360 2036 Total in migration: 2,894 2035 Total in migration: 2,864 2034 Total in migration: 2,850 2033 Total in migration: 2,806 2032 Total in migration: 2,787 2031 Total in migration: 2,767 2030 Total in migration: 2,740 2029 Total in migration: 2,705 2028 Total in migration: 2,669 2027 Total in migration: 2,635 2026 Total in migration: 2,657 2025 Total in migration: 2,631 2024 Total in migration: 2,615 2023 Total in migration: 2,597 2022 Total in migration: 2,571 2021 Total in migration: 2,575 2020 Total in migration: 2,566 2019 Total in migration: 2,553 2018 Total in migration: 2,554 2017 Total in migration: 2,578 2036 Total net migration: 384 2035 Total net migration: 369 2034 Total net migration: 371 2033 Total net migration: 340 2032 Total net migration: 335 2031 Total net migration: 329 2030 Total net migration: 315 2029 Total net migration: 288 2028 Total net migration: 261 2027 Total net migration: 233 2026 Total net migration: 263 2025 Total net migration: 243 2024 Total net migration: 230 2023 Total net migration: 217 2022 Total net migration: 195 2021 Total net migration: 204 2020 Total net migration: 198 2019 Total net migration: 189 2018 Total net migration: 195 2017 Total net migration: 218 2036 Total out migration: 2,510 2035 Total out migration: 2,495 2034 Total out migration: 2,479 2033 Total out migration: 2,466 2032 Total out migration: 2,452 2031 Total out migration: 2,438 2030 Total out migration: 2,425 2029 Total out migration: 2,416 2028 Total out migration: 2,408 2027 Total out migration: 2,402 2026 Total out migration: 2,394 2025 Total out migration: 2,388 2024 Total out migration: 2,385 2023 Total out migration: 2,381 2022 Total out migration: 2,376 2021 Total out migration: 2,372 2020 Total out migration: 2,367 2019 Total out migration: 2,364 2018 Total out migration: 2,359 2017 Total out migration: 2,360 2036 Total in migration: 2,894 2035 Total in migration: 2,864 2034 Total in migration: 2,850 2033 Total in migration: 2,806 2032 Total in migration: 2,787 2031 Total in migration: 2,767 2030 Total in migration: 2,740 2029 Total in migration: 2,705 2028 Total in migration: 2,669 2027 Total in migration: 2,635 2026 Total in migration: 2,657 2025 Total in migration: 2,631 2024 Total in migration: 2,615 2023 Total in migration: 2,597 2022 Total in migration: 2,571 2021 Total in migration: 2,575 2020 Total in migration: 2,566 2019 Total in migration: 2,553 2018 Total in migration: 2,554 2017 Total in migration: 2,578
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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