Bega Valley ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Bega Valley Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Bega Valley Shire will increase by an average of 168 dwellings per annum to 21,035 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Bega Valley Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
Bega Valley ShireChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
Bega Valley Shire+3,362+19.0
Bega District+592+25.0
Bega Rural+135+14.4
Bermagui Coast - Wapengo & District+615+35.3
Eden Coast+356+18.2
Merimbula - Millingandi & District+301+10.6
Pambula District+176+12.0
Rural North+127+10.2
Rural West+151+10.3
Tathra - Kalaru & District+147+8.3
Tura - Mirador & District+762+40.4

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 21,035 2035 Total dwellings: 20,859 2034 Total dwellings: 20,684 2033 Total dwellings: 20,508 2032 Total dwellings: 20,332 2031 Total dwellings: 20,155 2030 Total dwellings: 19,980 2029 Total dwellings: 19,803 2028 Total dwellings: 19,627 2027 Total dwellings: 19,451 2026 Total dwellings: 19,282 2025 Total dwellings: 19,118 2024 Total dwellings: 18,956 2023 Total dwellings: 18,791 2022 Total dwellings: 18,624 2021 Total dwellings: 18,463 2020 Total dwellings: 18,305 2019 Total dwellings: 18,149 2018 Total dwellings: 17,989 2017 Total dwellings: 17,833 2036 Total dwellings: 21,035 2035 Total dwellings: 20,859 2034 Total dwellings: 20,684 2033 Total dwellings: 20,508 2032 Total dwellings: 20,332 2031 Total dwellings: 20,155 2030 Total dwellings: 19,980 2029 Total dwellings: 19,803 2028 Total dwellings: 19,627 2027 Total dwellings: 19,451 2026 Total dwellings: 19,282 2025 Total dwellings: 19,118 2024 Total dwellings: 18,956 2023 Total dwellings: 18,791 2022 Total dwellings: 18,624 2021 Total dwellings: 18,463 2020 Total dwellings: 18,305 2019 Total dwellings: 18,149 2018 Total dwellings: 17,989 2017 Total dwellings: 17,833 2036 Forecast development: 176 2035 Forecast development: 175 2034 Forecast development: 176 2033 Forecast development: 176 2032 Forecast development: 177 2031 Forecast development: 175 2030 Forecast development: 177 2029 Forecast development: 176 2028 Forecast development: 176 2027 Forecast development: 169 2026 Forecast development: 164 2025 Forecast development: 162 2024 Forecast development: 165 2023 Forecast development: 167 2022 Forecast development: 161 2021 Forecast development: 158 2020 Forecast development: 156 2019 Forecast development: 160 2018 Forecast development: 156 2017 Forecast development: 160
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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