Bega Valley ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Bega Valley Shire

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Bega Valley Shire is forecast to grow from 17,674 in 2016 to 20,156 in 2026, with the average household size falling from 2.25 to 2.13 by 2026.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Bega Valley Shire. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Bega Valley ShireForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population33,94434,95135,91936,94838,138
Change in population (5yrs)--1,0079671,0291,190
Average annual change--0.59%0.55%0.57%0.64%
Households14,87315,59316,30217,03017,756
Average household size2.252.212.172.132.11
Population in non private dwellings503547587617647
Dwellings17,67418,46419,28320,15621,036
Dwelling occupancy rate84.1584.4584.5484.4984.41

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 2.11 2035 Average household size: 2.12 2034 Average household size: 2.12 2033 Average household size: 2.12 2032 Average household size: 2.13 2031 Average household size: 2.13 2030 Average household size: 2.14 2029 Average household size: 2.14 2028 Average household size: 2.15 2027 Average household size: 2.16 2026 Average household size: 2.17 2025 Average household size: 2.17 2024 Average household size: 2.18 2023 Average household size: 2.19 2022 Average household size: 2.20 2021 Average household size: 2.21 2020 Average household size: 2.21 2019 Average household size: 2.22 2018 Average household size: 2.23 2017 Average household size: 2.24 2016 Average household size: 2.25 2036 Average household size: 2.11 2035 Average household size: 2.12 2034 Average household size: 2.12 2033 Average household size: 2.12 2032 Average household size: 2.13 2031 Average household size: 2.13 2030 Average household size: 2.14 2029 Average household size: 2.14 2028 Average household size: 2.15 2027 Average household size: 2.16 2026 Average household size: 2.17 2025 Average household size: 2.17 2024 Average household size: 2.18 2023 Average household size: 2.19 2022 Average household size: 2.20 2021 Average household size: 2.21 2020 Average household size: 2.21 2019 Average household size: 2.22 2018 Average household size: 2.23 2017 Average household size: 2.24 2036 Households: 17,755 2035 Households: 17,611 2034 Households: 17,468 2033 Households: 17,323 2032 Households: 17,179 2031 Households: 17,031 2030 Households: 16,886 2029 Households: 16,739 2028 Households: 16,593 2027 Households: 16,445 2026 Households: 16,300 2025 Households: 16,160 2024 Households: 16,021 2023 Households: 15,880 2022 Households: 15,737 2021 Households: 15,594 2020 Households: 15,453 2019 Households: 15,313 2018 Households: 15,167 2017 Households: 15,023 2016 Households: 14,871 2036 Total population: 38,138 2035 Total population: 37,897 2034 Total population: 37,663 2033 Total population: 37,420 2032 Total population: 37,199 2031 Total population: 36,948 2030 Total population: 36,691 2029 Total population: 36,472 2028 Total population: 36,271 2027 Total population: 36,086 2026 Total population: 35,919 2025 Total population: 35,715 2024 Total population: 35,485 2023 Total population: 35,299 2022 Total population: 35,118 2021 Total population: 34,951 2020 Total population: 34,746 2019 Total population: 34,538 2018 Total population: 34,356 2017 Total population: 34,163 2016 Total population: 33,944
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Bega Valley Shire was estimated to be 33,944 people. It is expected to increase by over 1,900 people to 35,919 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 0.57%. This is based on an increase of over 2,100 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.25 to 2.13 by 2026.

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