Bega Valley ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Bega Valley Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Bega Valley Shire is 50-54 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Bega Valley Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Stable migration profile expected across the 2016-2026 period
  • Evidence of a dual housing market, with moderate gains of families (especially with young children) and retirees
  • Generally a loss of elderly persons (70 years and over)
  • Loss of young adults (18-24 years), many of whom are moving to Canberra, Sydney and Wollongong for employment and education reasons.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 23 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -63 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -126 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -40 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 58 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 231 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 330 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 330 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 254 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 153 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 166 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 167 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 86 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -341 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -430 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 3 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 131 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 216 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 54 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -8 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -67 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -21 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 67 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 199 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 249 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 293 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 196 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 174 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 171 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 137 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 70 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -324 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -467 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -24 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 97 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 207 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 23 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -63 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -126 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -40 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 58 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 231 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 330 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 330 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 254 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 153 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 166 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 167 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 86 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -341 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -430 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 3 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 131 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 216 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 54 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -8 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -67 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -21 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 67 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 199 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 249 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 293 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 196 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 174 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 171 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 137 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 70 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -324 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -467 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -24 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 97 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 207
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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