Bega Valley ShirePopulation forecast
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Tura - Mirador & District

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Tura - Mirador & District indicate a 0.9% decrease in population under working age, a 31.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 12.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bega Valley Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Tura - Mirador & District - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41664.41603.71833.6+17
5 to 91915.11824.22064.1+14
10 to 141814.81914.42044.1+23
15 to 191524.11713.91753.5+23
20 to 241032.81212.81282.5+25
25 to 291092.91282.91442.9+35
30 to 341423.81533.51733.4+31
35 to 391473.91703.91913.8+44
40 to 442115.61924.42124.2+1
45 to 492135.72154.92444.8+31
50 to 542406.42846.52935.8+54
55 to 592727.33317.63587.1+86
60 to 643409.14079.34669.3+125
65 to 6939210.54359.950910.1+117
70 to 743358.94089.34859.6+150
75 to 792637.03548.14118.2+147
80 to 841634.42545.83386.7+175
85 and over1223.32235.13146.2+192
Total persons3,744100.04,380100.05,033100.0+1,289

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 314 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 338 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 411 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 485 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 509 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 466 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 358 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 293 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 244 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 212 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 191 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 173 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 144 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 128 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 175 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 204 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 206 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 183 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 223 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 254 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 354 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 408 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 435 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 407 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 331 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 284 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 215 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 192 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 170 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 153 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 128 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 121 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 171 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 191 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 182 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 160 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 122 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 163 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 263 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 335 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 392 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 340 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 272 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 240 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 213 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 211 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 147 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 142 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 109 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 103 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 152 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 181 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 191 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 166
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 91 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 84 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 56 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 76 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 74 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 59 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 26 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 28 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 20 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 16 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 23 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 23 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 101 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 91 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 91 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 43 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 67 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 59 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 2 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -19 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 23 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 11 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 18 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -9 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -6
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Tura - Mirador & District was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 10.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 85 and over, which is expected to increase by 101 and account for 5.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 435 persons.

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