Bega Valley ShirePopulation forecast
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Merimbula - Millingandi & District

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Merimbula - Millingandi & District indicate a 19.3% increase in population under working age, a 16.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.3% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bega Valley Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Merimbula - Millingandi & District - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41543.32204.52144.2+60
5 to 91834.02054.22013.9+18
10 to 141763.81873.82144.2+38
15 to 191924.12084.22214.3+29
20 to 242575.61863.81943.8-64
25 to 292084.51984.02034.0-5
30 to 341944.22014.11863.6-8
35 to 391453.12054.22064.0+61
40 to 441984.32374.82454.8+47
45 to 492755.92234.52514.9-24
50 to 543126.72885.93146.1+1
55 to 594078.83687.53456.7-61
60 to 643858.34008.13947.7+9
65 to 6947110.24549.24408.6-31
70 to 743577.74168.54418.6+84
75 to 792856.14158.44258.3+140
80 to 841964.22695.53296.4+133
85 and over2335.02414.93086.0+75
Total persons4,630100.04,923100.05,131100.0+502

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 308 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 329 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 425 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 441 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 440 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 394 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 345 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 314 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 251 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 245 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 206 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 186 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 203 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 194 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 221 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 214 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 201 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 214 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 241 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 269 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 415 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 416 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 454 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 400 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 368 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 288 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 223 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 237 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 205 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 201 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 198 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 186 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 208 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 187 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 205 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 220 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 233 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 196 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 285 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 357 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 471 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 385 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 407 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 312 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 275 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 198 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 145 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 194 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 208 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 257 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 192 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 176 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 183 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 154
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 67 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 60 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 25 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -15 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -6 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -23 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 26 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 28 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -15 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 27 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -4 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -6 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 8 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 72 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 131 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 59 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -16 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 15 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -39 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -24 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -52 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 39 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 60 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 7 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -10 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -71 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 11 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 22 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 66
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Merimbula - Millingandi & District was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 10.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 131 and account for 8.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 454 persons.

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