City of BanyulePopulation forecast
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North East Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for North East Precinct indicate a 3.6% decrease in population under working age, a 30.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.9% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Banyule is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
North East Precinct - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,2306.81,0916.01,0485.8-182
5 to 91,1826.51,0575.81,0165.6-167
10 to 149975.51,1376.21,0655.9+68
15 to 191,0685.91,1936.51,1136.2+44
20 to 241,0856.01,0205.61,0545.9-31
25 to 291,0665.99075.09315.2-135
30 to 341,0585.81,0285.69985.5-60
35 to 391,2927.11,2026.61,1466.4-145
40 to 441,3257.31,2366.81,2066.7-120
45 to 491,3187.31,2697.01,2046.7-114
50 to 541,2146.71,2516.91,1816.6-33
55 to 591,3037.21,1926.51,1416.3-162
60 to 641,2226.81,0695.91,0665.9-156
65 to 691,0095.61,0415.79765.4-33
70 to 746923.89185.08574.8+165
75 to 793992.27504.17984.4+399
80 to 842931.65152.86583.7+365
85 and over3461.93541.95292.9+183
Total persons18,100100.018,229100.017,986100.0-115

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 529 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 658 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 798 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 857 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 976 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 1,066 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 1,141 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 1,181 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 1,204 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 1,206 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 1,146 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 998 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 931 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,054 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 1,113 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 1,065 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 1,016 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 1,048 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 354 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 515 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 750 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 918 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 1,041 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,069 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,192 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,251 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,269 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,236 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,202 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,028 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 907 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,020 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,193 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,137 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,057 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,091 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 346 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 293 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 399 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 692 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1,009 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 1,222 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,303 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,214 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,318 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,325 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,292 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,058 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,066 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,085 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,068 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 997 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,182 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,230
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 175 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 142 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 48 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: -61 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -65 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -2 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -51 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -69 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: -66 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -30 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -55 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -30 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 35 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -81 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -72 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -42 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -43 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 8 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 222 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 351 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 226 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 32 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -153 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -111 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 37 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -49 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -90 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -90 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -30 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -159 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -66 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 125 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 140 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -125 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -139
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in North East Precinct was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 351 and account for 4.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 45 to 49 years, with a total of 1,269 persons.

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