City of BanyulePopulation forecast
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St Helena - Eltham North

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for St Helena - Eltham North indicate a 24.2% increase in population under working age, a 29.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.8% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Banyule is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
St Helena - Eltham North - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42825.23806.63476.1+65
5 to 93336.23596.23516.2+19
10 to 143015.63996.94167.3+115
15 to 194328.04638.04507.9+18
20 to 244828.93766.53966.9-86
25 to 292775.12895.02875.0+10
30 to 342294.23045.32724.8+44
35 to 392915.43476.03375.9+47
40 to 443306.13746.53776.6+47
45 to 493827.13996.93966.9+14
50 to 544257.94017.04067.1-19
55 to 594748.83866.73766.6-97
60 to 644448.23606.33195.6-125
65 to 692414.53165.52624.6+21
70 to 741262.32544.42344.1+108
75 to 79701.31402.41983.5+128
80 to 841031.91061.81602.8+57
85 and over1743.21051.81172.0-57
Total persons5,396100.05,759100.05,703100.0+307

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 117 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 160 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 198 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 234 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 262 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 319 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 376 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 406 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 396 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 377 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 337 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 272 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 287 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 396 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 450 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 416 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 351 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 347 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 105 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 106 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 140 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 254 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 316 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 360 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 386 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 401 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 399 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 374 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 347 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 304 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 289 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 376 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 463 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 399 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 359 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 380 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 174 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 103 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 70 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 126 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 241 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 444 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 474 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 425 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 382 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 330 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 291 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 229 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 277 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 482 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 432 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 301 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 333 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 282
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 54 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 58 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: -20 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -54 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -42 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -10 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -10 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -32 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -2 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 19 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -13 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 18 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -8 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -32 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -69 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 3 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 70 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 128 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 75 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -84 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -88 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -24 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 56 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 76 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -106 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 98 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 27 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 97
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in St Helena - Eltham North was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 8.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 128 and account for 4.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 463 persons.

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