City of BanyulePopulation forecast
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East Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for East Precinct indicate a 9.9% decrease in population under working age, a 7.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Banyule is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
East Precinct - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49836.49065.99486.0-35
5 to 91,1147.29065.99476.0-168
10 to 149896.49686.39696.1-20
15 to 199676.31,0817.01,0286.5+61
20 to 241,0386.79866.41,0026.3-36
25 to 297685.08405.48985.7+130
30 to 348345.48985.89225.8+88
35 to 399806.39656.31,0206.5+40
40 to 441,1617.51,0666.91,1197.1-42
45 to 491,1207.31,0476.81,0716.8-48
50 to 549566.21,0326.71,0006.3+44
55 to 599266.09336.09045.7-22
60 to 648135.38025.28585.4+45
65 to 698145.38035.28285.2+14
70 to 747955.27084.67324.6-63
75 to 795493.66033.96284.0+79
80 to 843332.24703.04723.0+139
85 and over2981.94132.74733.0+174
Total persons15,438100.015,428100.015,818100.0+380

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 473 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 472 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 628 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 732 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 828 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 858 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 904 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 1,000 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 1,071 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 1,119 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 1,020 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 922 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 898 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,002 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 1,028 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 969 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 947 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 948 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 413 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 470 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 603 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 708 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 803 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 802 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 933 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,032 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,047 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,066 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 965 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 898 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 840 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 986 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,081 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 968 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 906 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 906 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 298 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 333 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 549 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 795 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 814 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 813 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 926 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 956 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,120 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,161 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 980 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 834 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 768 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,038 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 967 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 989 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,114 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 983
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 60 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 25 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 25 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 56 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -28 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -32 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 53 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 55 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 23 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 57 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 16 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -54 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 40 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 42 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 115 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 137 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 54 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: -87 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -11 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -11 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 6 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 76 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -72 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -95 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -15 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 65 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -52 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 115 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -22 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -208 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -77
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in East Precinct was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 80 to 84, which is expected to increase by 137 and account for 3.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 1,081 persons.

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