City of BanyulePopulation forecast
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North West Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for North West Precinct indicate a 0.5% increase in population under working age, a 4.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Banyule is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
North West Precinct - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,2656.41,1975.91,2265.8-39
5 to 91,1815.91,1485.61,1765.6-5
10 to 141,0455.31,1655.71,1675.5+122
15 to 191,1125.61,2146.01,2215.8+109
20 to 241,4957.51,3706.71,4476.9-48
25 to 291,4697.41,3666.71,4276.8-42
30 to 341,4287.21,3726.81,3856.6-43
35 to 391,3536.81,4267.01,4376.8+84
40 to 441,4717.41,4247.01,4336.8-38
45 to 491,2756.41,3066.41,3476.4+72
50 to 541,1255.71,3066.41,2956.1+170
55 to 591,1035.51,1985.91,2385.9+135
60 to 649504.81,0825.31,2215.8+271
65 to 691,0935.59894.91,0755.1-18
70 to 749174.68204.09344.4+16
75 to 796913.58374.18093.8+118
80 to 844582.36283.16353.0+177
85 and over4452.24812.46032.9+159
Total persons19,877100.020,328100.021,076100.0+1,199

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 603 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 635 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 809 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 934 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 1,075 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 1,221 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 1,238 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 1,295 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 1,347 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 1,433 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 1,437 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,385 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,427 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,447 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 1,221 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 1,167 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 1,176 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 1,226 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 481 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 628 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 837 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 820 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 989 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,082 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,198 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,306 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,306 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,424 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,426 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,372 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,366 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,370 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,214 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,165 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,148 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,197 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 445 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 458 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 691 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 917 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1,093 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 950 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,103 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,125 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,275 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,471 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,353 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,428 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,469 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,495 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,112 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,045 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,181 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,265
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 122 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: -27 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 113 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 86 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 140 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 39 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -11 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 42 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 61 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 76 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 28 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 29 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 36 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 170 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 145 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: -97 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -104 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 131 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 96 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 181 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -48 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 72 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -55 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -103 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -124 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 102 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 120 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -33 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -68
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in North West Precinct was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 50 to 54, which is expected to increase by 181 and account for 6.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 1,426 persons.

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