City of BanyulePopulation forecast
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South Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for South Precinct indicate a 17.1% increase in population under working age, a 38.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 14.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Banyule is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
South Precinct - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,0635.11,3965.61,3645.3+301
5 to 91,2345.91,3835.51,3685.3+134
10 to 141,2405.91,3625.51,4105.4+170
15 to 191,3496.41,5006.01,4885.7+138
20 to 241,3606.51,5856.31,5606.0+199
25 to 291,3676.51,6346.51,5756.1+207
30 to 341,3486.41,5726.31,5205.9+172
35 to 391,2966.21,5866.41,5706.0+274
40 to 441,3646.51,6906.81,6646.4+300
45 to 491,5397.31,7196.91,7316.7+191
50 to 541,5577.41,6626.71,8067.0+249
55 to 591,5197.21,6256.51,7316.7+212
60 to 641,2766.11,4735.91,5365.9+261
65 to 691,1425.51,3215.31,3905.4+248
70 to 747443.61,0714.31,2174.7+473
75 to 795442.69243.71,0824.2+538
80 to 844382.15832.38263.2+388
85 and over5772.88803.51,1214.3+544
Total persons20,956100.024,968100.025,958100.0+5,002

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,121 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 826 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 1,082 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 1,217 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 1,390 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 1,536 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 1,731 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 1,806 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 1,731 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 1,664 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 1,570 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,520 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,575 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,560 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 1,488 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 1,410 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 1,368 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 1,364 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 880 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 583 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 924 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 1,071 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 1,321 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,473 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,625 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,662 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,719 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,690 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,586 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,572 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,634 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,585 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,500 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,362 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,383 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,396 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 577 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 438 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 544 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 744 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1,142 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 1,276 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,519 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,557 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,539 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,364 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,296 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,348 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,367 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,360 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,349 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,240 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,234 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,063
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 241 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 242 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 158 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 147 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 69 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 63 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 106 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 144 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -26 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -16 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -52 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -60 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -26 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -12 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 48 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -15 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -33 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 303 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 146 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 380 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 327 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 179 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 197 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 107 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 105 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 180 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 326 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 290 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 225 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 267 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 225 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 151 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 122 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 150 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 334
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in South Precinct was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 380 and account for 3.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 45 to 49 years, with a total of 1,719 persons.

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