City of BanyulePopulation forecast
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Lower Plenty

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Lower Plenty indicate a 7.7% increase in population under working age, a 5.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.5% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Banyule is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Lower Plenty - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42225.52135.32035.0-19
5 to 92195.42325.82295.7+10
10 to 142075.12536.32506.2+43
15 to 192526.22436.02496.2-3
20 to 243007.41994.92185.4-82
25 to 292105.22075.12065.1-4
30 to 342486.12506.22305.7-18
35 to 392295.72486.22486.1+19
40 to 442335.82937.32927.2+59
45 to 492666.62766.92847.0+18
50 to 542205.42606.52917.2+71
55 to 592847.02355.82395.9-45
60 to 642646.51824.52025.0-62
65 to 692235.52275.62004.9-23
70 to 742155.32165.41724.3-43
75 to 791704.21704.21774.4+7
80 to 841263.11453.61563.9+30
85 and over1553.81764.41934.8+38
Total persons4,043100.04,023100.04,038100.0-5

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 193 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 156 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 177 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 172 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 200 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 202 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 239 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 291 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 284 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 292 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 248 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 230 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 206 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 218 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 249 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 250 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 229 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 203 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 176 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 145 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 170 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 216 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 227 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 182 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 235 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 260 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 276 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 293 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 248 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 250 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 207 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 199 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 243 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 253 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 232 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 213 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 155 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 126 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 170 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 215 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 223 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 264 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 284 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 220 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 266 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 233 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 229 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 248 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 210 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 300 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 252 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 207 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 219 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 222
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 16 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: -44 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -27 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 20 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 30 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 9 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -1 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 0 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -20 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -1 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 19 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -10 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 0 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 1 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 4 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -82 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -49 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 40 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 60 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 2 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -3 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -101 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -9 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 46 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -9
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Lower Plenty was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 60 and account for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 293 persons.

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