City of BanyulePopulation forecast
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Briar Hill

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Briar Hill indicate a 3.5% decrease in population under working age, a 8.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Banyule is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Briar Hill - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42116.51945.81985.9-13
5 to 92096.41825.51855.5-24
10 to 141554.81795.41765.2+21
15 to 191364.21905.71825.4+47
20 to 241715.31745.21885.6+17
25 to 291905.91805.41985.9+8
30 to 342437.52136.42146.4-28
35 to 392417.42447.32457.3+4
40 to 442397.32778.32738.1+35
45 to 491795.52497.52557.6+75
50 to 542608.02126.42367.0-23
55 to 591905.81564.72016.0+11
60 to 642066.32026.11785.3-29
65 to 692086.41494.51313.9-76
70 to 741815.61574.71554.6-26
75 to 791424.41604.81293.8-13
80 to 84591.81243.71213.6+62
85 and over311.0832.51013.0+70
Total persons3,251100.03,326100.03,367100.0+116

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 101 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 121 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 129 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 155 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 131 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 178 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 201 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 236 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 255 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 273 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 245 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 214 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 198 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 188 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 182 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 176 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 185 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 198 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 83 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 124 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 160 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 157 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 149 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 202 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 156 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 212 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 249 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 277 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 244 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 213 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 180 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 174 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 190 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 179 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 182 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 194 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 31 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 59 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 142 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 181 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 208 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 206 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 190 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 260 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 179 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 239 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 241 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 243 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 190 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 171 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 136 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 155 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 209 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 211
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 19 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: -32 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: -2 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -18 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -24 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 44 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 18 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -8 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 51 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 65 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 18 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: -23 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -59 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -4 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -34 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -48 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 69 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 38 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 3 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -30 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -10 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 4 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 55 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 24 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -27 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -18
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Briar Hill was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 45 to 49, which is expected to increase by 69 and account for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 277 persons.

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