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City of BanyulePopulation forecast

Briar Hill

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Briar Hill indicate a 3.5% decrease in population under working age, a 8.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Briar Hill is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Briar Hill - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42116.51945.81985.9-13
5 to 92096.41825.51855.5-24
10 to 141554.81795.41765.2+21
15 to 191364.21905.71825.4+47
20 to 241715.31745.21885.6+17
25 to 291905.91805.41985.9+8
30 to 342437.52136.42146.4-28
35 to 392417.42447.32457.3+4
40 to 442397.32778.32738.1+35
45 to 491795.52497.52557.6+75
50 to 542608.02126.42367.0-23
55 to 591905.81564.72016.0+11
60 to 642066.32026.11785.3-29
65 to 692086.41494.51313.9-76
70 to 741815.61574.71554.6-26
75 to 791424.41604.81293.8-13
80 to 84591.81243.71213.6+62
85 and over311.0832.51013.0+70
Total persons3,251100.03,326100.03,367100.0+116
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Briar Hill was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 45 to 49, which is expected to increase by 69 and account for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 277 persons.

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