City of BanyulePopulation forecast
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West Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for West Precinct indicate a 21.3% increase in population under working age, a 18.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 12.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Banyule is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
West Precinct - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,0787.71,2577.81,3627.6+284
5 to 97855.69916.11,0896.1+304
10 to 146674.78215.19145.1+247
15 to 197885.68385.29635.4+175
20 to 241,0637.51,2437.71,3987.8+335
25 to 291,41410.01,5479.61,6799.4+265
30 to 341,2969.21,5389.51,6799.4+383
35 to 391,0637.51,4018.71,5088.5+445
40 to 448966.41,1236.91,2437.0+347
45 to 498305.99085.61,0706.0+240
50 to 548916.38215.19655.4+74
55 to 598045.77704.88344.7+30
60 to 646824.87554.77284.1+46
65 to 696104.36133.86133.4+3
70 to 743752.75113.25703.2+195
75 to 792982.14302.74632.6+165
80 to 842331.72811.73772.1+144
85 and over3082.23192.03762.1+68
Total persons14,081100.016,166100.017,832100.0+3,751

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 376 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 377 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 463 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 570 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 613 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 728 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 834 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 965 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 1,070 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 1,243 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 1,508 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,679 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,679 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,398 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 963 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 914 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 1,089 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 1,362 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 319 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 281 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 430 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 511 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 613 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 755 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 770 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 821 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 908 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,123 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,401 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,538 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,547 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,243 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 838 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 821 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 991 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,257 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 308 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 233 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 298 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 375 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 610 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 682 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 804 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 891 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 830 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 896 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,063 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,296 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,414 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,063 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 788 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 667 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 785 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,078
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 57 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 96 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 33 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 59 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 0 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -27 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 64 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 144 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 163 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 120 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 108 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 141 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 132 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 155 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 126 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 94 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 98 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 105 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 11 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 48 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 132 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 136 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 3 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -34 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -70 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 78 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 227 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 338 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 242 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 133 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 180 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 50 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 154 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 206 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 179
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in West Precinct was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 10.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 338 and account for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,547 persons.

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