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City of BanyulePopulation forecast

City of Banyule

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Banyule indicate a 11.6% increase in population under working age, a 20.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 10.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Banyule is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Banyule - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 48,4316.69,0476.310,2436.2+1,811
5 to 98,0166.38,7216.19,8245.9+1,808
10 to 146,9125.48,3115.89,2555.6+2,343
15 to 197,1385.68,3075.89,3195.6+2,180
20 to 248,1686.48,7866.110,1586.1+1,990
25 to 298,7736.99,5646.710,9876.6+2,215
30 to 348,9567.010,0607.011,5057.0+2,549
35 to 398,9637.010,1947.111,5757.0+2,612
40 to 449,0887.19,9166.911,2256.8+2,137
45 to 498,5856.79,4826.610,7926.5+2,207
50 to 548,0706.39,0536.310,2096.2+2,139
55 to 597,8606.28,2605.89,4855.7+1,625
60 to 647,0125.57,4295.28,5765.2+1,564
65 to 696,6455.26,8784.87,8294.7+1,184
70 to 745,0714.05,9964.27,0274.3+1,955
75 to 793,7262.95,2593.76,2473.8+2,521
80 to 842,7792.23,7452.65,2433.2+2,464
85 and over3,2562.64,0752.85,7563.5+2,500
Total persons127,453100.0143,083100.0165,256100.0+37,803
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Banyule was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 1,533 and account for 3.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 10,194 persons.

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