City of BanyulePopulation forecast
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Montmorency

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Montmorency indicate a 16.9% decrease in population under working age, a 41.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 9.2% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Banyule is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Montmorency - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47367.85185.75035.6-234
5 to 96406.85165.64795.4-161
10 to 145425.75606.14735.3-69
15 to 195005.35405.94805.4-21
20 to 244324.64695.14715.3+39
25 to 295996.34374.84465.0-153
30 to 345866.25115.65115.7-75
35 to 397608.06116.75646.3-196
40 to 447568.05846.45556.2-201
45 to 497578.06226.85536.2-204
50 to 545305.66387.05396.0+10
55 to 596396.86497.15646.3-76
60 to 645726.05065.55706.4-2
65 to 695615.95766.35826.5+21
70 to 743854.15075.54685.3+83
75 to 791872.04504.94715.3+284
80 to 841311.42853.13764.2+245
85 and over1411.51671.83103.5+169
Total persons9,454100.09,144100.08,916100.0-538

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 310 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 376 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 471 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 468 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 582 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 570 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 564 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 539 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 553 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 555 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 564 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 511 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 446 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 471 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 480 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 473 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 479 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 503 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 167 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 285 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 450 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 507 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 576 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 506 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 649 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 638 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 622 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 584 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 611 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 511 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 437 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 469 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 540 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 560 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 516 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 518 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 141 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 131 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 187 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 385 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 561 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 572 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 639 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 530 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 757 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 756 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 760 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 586 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 599 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 432 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 500 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 542 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 640 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 736
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 143 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 91 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: -38 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 64 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -86 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -98 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: -68 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -30 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -47 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 9 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -60 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -87 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -36 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -15 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 26 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 154 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 263 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 122 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 15 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -65 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 108 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -135 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -172 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -149 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -76 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -162 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 36 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 39 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 18 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -124 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -219
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Montmorency was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 263 and account for 4.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 649 persons.

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