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Cranbourne East (Established)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Cranbourne East (Established) will increase by an average of 79 dwellings per annum to 5,742 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Casey. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • The Hunt Club Estate
  • Brindalee Estate
  • Croskell Psp (Urban Floodway Zone)
  • East Estate
  • East Cranbourne Development Plan
  • Hunters Green Retirement Village Continuation
  • Future Greenfield Development
  • Small sites - 5 dwellings
  • No infill assumed
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 5,742 2040 Total dwellings: 5,740 2039 Total dwellings: 5,738 2038 Total dwellings: 5,736 2037 Total dwellings: 5,734 2036 Total dwellings: 5,732 2035 Total dwellings: 5,730 2034 Total dwellings: 5,728 2033 Total dwellings: 5,726 2032 Total dwellings: 5,724 2031 Total dwellings: 5,722 2030 Total dwellings: 5,720 2029 Total dwellings: 5,718 2028 Total dwellings: 5,716 2027 Total dwellings: 5,641 2026 Total dwellings: 5,505 2025 Total dwellings: 5,330 2024 Total dwellings: 5,155 2023 Total dwellings: 4,980 2022 Total dwellings: 4,830 2021 Total dwellings: 4,680 2020 Total dwellings: 4,555 2019 Total dwellings: 4,380 2018 Total dwellings: 4,155 2017 Total dwellings: 3,957 2041 Total dwellings: 5,742 2040 Total dwellings: 5,740 2039 Total dwellings: 5,738 2038 Total dwellings: 5,736 2037 Total dwellings: 5,734 2036 Total dwellings: 5,732 2035 Total dwellings: 5,730 2034 Total dwellings: 5,728 2033 Total dwellings: 5,726 2032 Total dwellings: 5,724 2031 Total dwellings: 5,722 2030 Total dwellings: 5,720 2029 Total dwellings: 5,718 2028 Total dwellings: 5,716 2027 Total dwellings: 5,641 2026 Total dwellings: 5,505 2025 Total dwellings: 5,330 2024 Total dwellings: 5,155 2023 Total dwellings: 4,980 2022 Total dwellings: 4,830 2021 Total dwellings: 4,680 2020 Total dwellings: 4,555 2019 Total dwellings: 4,380 2018 Total dwellings: 4,155 2017 Total dwellings: 3,957 2041 Forecast development: 2 2040 Forecast development: 2 2039 Forecast development: 2 2038 Forecast development: 2 2037 Forecast development: 2 2036 Forecast development: 2 2035 Forecast development: 2 2034 Forecast development: 2 2033 Forecast development: 2 2032 Forecast development: 2 2031 Forecast development: 2 2030 Forecast development: 2 2029 Forecast development: 2 2028 Forecast development: 75 2027 Forecast development: 136 2026 Forecast development: 175 2025 Forecast development: 175 2024 Forecast development: 175 2023 Forecast development: 150 2022 Forecast development: 150 2021 Forecast development: 125 2020 Forecast development: 175 2019 Forecast development: 225 2018 Forecast development: 198 2017 Forecast development: 187
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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