City of CaseyPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Casey

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Casey is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Casey depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Substantial new housing opportunities in the major growth areas, namely Berwick (South), Botanic Ridge, Cranbourne North, Cranbourne East, Cranbourne West, Clyde North and the Clyde Growth Area which are expected to attract predominantly young couples, and young and established families
  • Gain in young adults (18-24 years) in established areas such as Doveton-Eumemmerring, Hallam (both suburbs having a diversity of housing stock) and Hampton Park
  • Gain of empty nesters and early retirees (50-69 years), decreasing over the period as households that moved in during earlier periods of the City's development age and become empty nester households, with a proportion accessing lifestyle options elsewhere
  • Small gain of older persons (70+ years) in established areas

Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 562 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 38 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -167 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -191 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -390 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -364 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -329 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -244 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -442 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -127 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 1,679 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 5,813 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 7,211 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 2,994 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -153 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -123 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 2,321 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 6,997 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 550 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 83 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -139 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -53 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -165 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -181 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -82 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -96 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 257 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 558 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 2,154 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 5,757 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 6,553 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 3,755 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,159 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 957 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 2,904 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 7,146 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 582 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 222 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 210 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 321 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 385 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 384 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 309 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 597 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 914 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 2,157 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 3,906 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 7,621 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 8,127 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 4,443 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 2,314 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 2,524 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 4,446 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 8,409 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 562 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 38 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -167 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -191 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -390 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -364 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -329 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -244 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -442 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -127 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 1,679 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 5,813 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 7,211 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 2,994 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -153 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -123 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 2,321 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 6,997 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 550 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 83 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -139 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -53 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -165 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -181 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -82 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -96 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 257 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 558 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 2,154 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 5,757 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 6,553 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 3,755 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,159 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 957 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 2,904 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 7,146 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 582 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 222 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 210 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 321 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 385 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 384 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 309 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 597 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 914 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 2,157 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 3,906 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 7,621 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 8,127 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 4,443 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 2,314 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 2,524 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 4,446 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 8,409
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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