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Narre Warren

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Narre Warren will increase by an average of 71 dwellings per annum to 11,329 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Casey. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • 1-10 Tanika Lane
  • London Crescent Residential Development
  • Narre Warren Springs Estate
  • Vimini Drive
  • Tomasetti Crescent Residential Development
  • Future Potential
  • 96-166 Centre Rd
  • Casey Gardens
  • 41A Saxonwood Drive
  • Future Potential
  • Small sites - 5 dwellings
  • Moderate-high level of infill (15-25 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 11,329 2040 Total dwellings: 11,304 2039 Total dwellings: 11,279 2038 Total dwellings: 11,254 2037 Total dwellings: 11,229 2036 Total dwellings: 11,204 2035 Total dwellings: 11,179 2034 Total dwellings: 11,154 2033 Total dwellings: 11,129 2032 Total dwellings: 11,104 2031 Total dwellings: 11,079 2030 Total dwellings: 11,054 2029 Total dwellings: 11,007 2028 Total dwellings: 10,932 2027 Total dwellings: 10,832 2026 Total dwellings: 10,732 2025 Total dwellings: 10,561 2024 Total dwellings: 10,361 2023 Total dwellings: 10,174 2022 Total dwellings: 10,020 2021 Total dwellings: 9,911 2020 Total dwellings: 9,845 2019 Total dwellings: 9,778 2018 Total dwellings: 9,702 2017 Total dwellings: 9,643 2041 Total dwellings: 11,329 2040 Total dwellings: 11,304 2039 Total dwellings: 11,279 2038 Total dwellings: 11,254 2037 Total dwellings: 11,229 2036 Total dwellings: 11,204 2035 Total dwellings: 11,179 2034 Total dwellings: 11,154 2033 Total dwellings: 11,129 2032 Total dwellings: 11,104 2031 Total dwellings: 11,079 2030 Total dwellings: 11,054 2029 Total dwellings: 11,007 2028 Total dwellings: 10,932 2027 Total dwellings: 10,832 2026 Total dwellings: 10,732 2025 Total dwellings: 10,561 2024 Total dwellings: 10,361 2023 Total dwellings: 10,174 2022 Total dwellings: 10,020 2021 Total dwellings: 9,911 2020 Total dwellings: 9,845 2019 Total dwellings: 9,778 2018 Total dwellings: 9,702 2017 Total dwellings: 9,643 2041 Forecast development: 25 2040 Forecast development: 25 2039 Forecast development: 25 2038 Forecast development: 25 2037 Forecast development: 25 2036 Forecast development: 25 2035 Forecast development: 25 2034 Forecast development: 25 2033 Forecast development: 25 2032 Forecast development: 25 2031 Forecast development: 25 2030 Forecast development: 47 2029 Forecast development: 75 2028 Forecast development: 100 2027 Forecast development: 100 2026 Forecast development: 171 2025 Forecast development: 200 2024 Forecast development: 187 2023 Forecast development: 154 2022 Forecast development: 109 2021 Forecast development: 66 2020 Forecast development: 67 2019 Forecast development: 76 2018 Forecast development: 59 2017 Forecast development: 82
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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