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Cranbourne West

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Cranbourne West will increase by an average of 145 dwellings per annum to 8,744 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Casey. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Duo At Evans Park Estate
  • Casiana Grove Estate
  • Quarters Estate
  • 660 Hall Road - Unsubdivided
  • Clarinda Park Estate
  • 950 Dandenong-Hastings Road (Cranbourne West PSP)
  • Lochaven Estate
  • Brompton Estate
  • Ava Terraces
  • Future Potential
  • Small sites - 23 dwellings
  • No infill assumed
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 8,744 2040 Total dwellings: 8,739 2039 Total dwellings: 8,734 2038 Total dwellings: 8,729 2037 Total dwellings: 8,724 2036 Total dwellings: 8,719 2035 Total dwellings: 8,714 2034 Total dwellings: 8,709 2033 Total dwellings: 8,704 2032 Total dwellings: 8,699 2031 Total dwellings: 8,694 2030 Total dwellings: 8,689 2029 Total dwellings: 8,651 2028 Total dwellings: 8,571 2027 Total dwellings: 8,441 2026 Total dwellings: 8,261 2025 Total dwellings: 8,081 2024 Total dwellings: 7,901 2023 Total dwellings: 7,721 2022 Total dwellings: 7,541 2021 Total dwellings: 7,311 2020 Total dwellings: 7,031 2019 Total dwellings: 6,576 2018 Total dwellings: 6,100 2017 Total dwellings: 5,627 2041 Total dwellings: 8,744 2040 Total dwellings: 8,739 2039 Total dwellings: 8,734 2038 Total dwellings: 8,729 2037 Total dwellings: 8,724 2036 Total dwellings: 8,719 2035 Total dwellings: 8,714 2034 Total dwellings: 8,709 2033 Total dwellings: 8,704 2032 Total dwellings: 8,699 2031 Total dwellings: 8,694 2030 Total dwellings: 8,689 2029 Total dwellings: 8,651 2028 Total dwellings: 8,571 2027 Total dwellings: 8,441 2026 Total dwellings: 8,261 2025 Total dwellings: 8,081 2024 Total dwellings: 7,901 2023 Total dwellings: 7,721 2022 Total dwellings: 7,541 2021 Total dwellings: 7,311 2020 Total dwellings: 7,031 2019 Total dwellings: 6,576 2018 Total dwellings: 6,100 2017 Total dwellings: 5,627 2041 Forecast development: 5 2040 Forecast development: 5 2039 Forecast development: 5 2038 Forecast development: 5 2037 Forecast development: 5 2036 Forecast development: 5 2035 Forecast development: 5 2034 Forecast development: 5 2033 Forecast development: 5 2032 Forecast development: 5 2031 Forecast development: 5 2030 Forecast development: 38 2029 Forecast development: 80 2028 Forecast development: 130 2027 Forecast development: 180 2026 Forecast development: 180 2025 Forecast development: 180 2024 Forecast development: 180 2023 Forecast development: 180 2022 Forecast development: 230 2021 Forecast development: 280 2020 Forecast development: 455 2019 Forecast development: 476 2018 Forecast development: 473 2017 Forecast development: 498
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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