City of CaseyPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Casey Foothills (Harkaway - Narre Warren North)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Casey Foothills (Harkaway - Narre Warren North) will increase by an average of 18 dwellings per annum to 3,028 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Casey. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Tamar Court
  • Low Density Development
  • Harkaway Heights Estate
  • 33 Rockleigh Park Road, Future Greenfield
  • Small sites - 9 dwellings
  • Moderate level of infill (11-12.75 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 3,028 2040 Total dwellings: 3,015 2039 Total dwellings: 3,002 2038 Total dwellings: 2,989 2037 Total dwellings: 2,976 2036 Total dwellings: 2,963 2035 Total dwellings: 2,949 2034 Total dwellings: 2,935 2033 Total dwellings: 2,921 2032 Total dwellings: 2,907 2031 Total dwellings: 2,893 2030 Total dwellings: 2,879 2029 Total dwellings: 2,865 2028 Total dwellings: 2,853 2027 Total dwellings: 2,841 2026 Total dwellings: 2,829 2025 Total dwellings: 2,817 2024 Total dwellings: 2,803 2023 Total dwellings: 2,787 2022 Total dwellings: 2,766 2021 Total dwellings: 2,741 2020 Total dwellings: 2,717 2019 Total dwellings: 2,686 2018 Total dwellings: 2,652 2017 Total dwellings: 2,618 2041 Total dwellings: 3,028 2040 Total dwellings: 3,015 2039 Total dwellings: 3,002 2038 Total dwellings: 2,989 2037 Total dwellings: 2,976 2036 Total dwellings: 2,963 2035 Total dwellings: 2,949 2034 Total dwellings: 2,935 2033 Total dwellings: 2,921 2032 Total dwellings: 2,907 2031 Total dwellings: 2,893 2030 Total dwellings: 2,879 2029 Total dwellings: 2,865 2028 Total dwellings: 2,853 2027 Total dwellings: 2,841 2026 Total dwellings: 2,829 2025 Total dwellings: 2,817 2024 Total dwellings: 2,803 2023 Total dwellings: 2,787 2022 Total dwellings: 2,766 2021 Total dwellings: 2,741 2020 Total dwellings: 2,717 2019 Total dwellings: 2,686 2018 Total dwellings: 2,652 2017 Total dwellings: 2,618 2041 Forecast development: 13 2040 Forecast development: 13 2039 Forecast development: 13 2038 Forecast development: 13 2037 Forecast development: 13 2036 Forecast development: 14 2035 Forecast development: 14 2034 Forecast development: 14 2033 Forecast development: 14 2032 Forecast development: 14 2031 Forecast development: 14 2030 Forecast development: 14 2029 Forecast development: 12 2028 Forecast development: 12 2027 Forecast development: 12 2026 Forecast development: 12 2025 Forecast development: 14 2024 Forecast development: 16 2023 Forecast development: 21 2022 Forecast development: 25 2021 Forecast development: 24 2020 Forecast development: 31 2019 Forecast development: 34 2018 Forecast development: 34 2017 Forecast development: 35
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
v19.10.16-1.0.0