City of CaseyPopulation forecast
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City of Casey

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in City of Casey will increase by an average of 3,538 dwellings per annum to 191,241 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Casey. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2041
City of CaseyChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2041
Areanumber%
City of Casey+88,452+86.1
Berwick+6,421+37.1
Botanic Ridge+3,422+267.9
Casey Coast+116+7.6
Casey Foothills (Harkaway - Narre Warren North)+445+17.2
Clyde+24,830+2287.5
Clyde North+27,575+951.7
Cranbourne+2,757+35.8
Cranbourne East+8,090+151.0
Cranbourne North+3,136+47.2
Cranbourne South+89+15.3
Cranbourne West+3,615+70.5
Devon Meadows+89+17.6
Doveton - Eumemmerring+823+18.9
Endeavour Hills+511+5.9
Hallam+890+23.9
Hampton Park+849+10.1
Junction Village+896+200.4
Lynbrook+490+20.3
Lyndhurst+935+45.4
Lysterfield South+57+19.8
Narre Warren+1,768+18.5
Narre Warren South+504+5.6
Pearcedale+145+11.4

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 191,241 2040 Total dwellings: 188,877 2039 Total dwellings: 186,383 2038 Total dwellings: 183,765 2037 Total dwellings: 181,138 2036 Total dwellings: 178,424 2035 Total dwellings: 175,682 2034 Total dwellings: 172,807 2033 Total dwellings: 169,843 2032 Total dwellings: 166,675 2031 Total dwellings: 163,413 2030 Total dwellings: 160,084 2029 Total dwellings: 156,606 2028 Total dwellings: 153,002 2027 Total dwellings: 149,253 2026 Total dwellings: 145,428 2025 Total dwellings: 141,493 2024 Total dwellings: 137,580 2023 Total dwellings: 133,758 2022 Total dwellings: 130,081 2021 Total dwellings: 126,371 2020 Total dwellings: 122,413 2019 Total dwellings: 117,933 2018 Total dwellings: 113,117 2017 Total dwellings: 107,837 2041 Total dwellings: 191,241 2040 Total dwellings: 188,877 2039 Total dwellings: 186,383 2038 Total dwellings: 183,765 2037 Total dwellings: 181,138 2036 Total dwellings: 178,424 2035 Total dwellings: 175,682 2034 Total dwellings: 172,807 2033 Total dwellings: 169,843 2032 Total dwellings: 166,675 2031 Total dwellings: 163,413 2030 Total dwellings: 160,084 2029 Total dwellings: 156,606 2028 Total dwellings: 153,002 2027 Total dwellings: 149,253 2026 Total dwellings: 145,428 2025 Total dwellings: 141,493 2024 Total dwellings: 137,580 2023 Total dwellings: 133,758 2022 Total dwellings: 130,081 2021 Total dwellings: 126,371 2020 Total dwellings: 122,413 2019 Total dwellings: 117,933 2018 Total dwellings: 113,117 2017 Total dwellings: 107,837 2041 Forecast development: 2,364 2040 Forecast development: 2,494 2039 Forecast development: 2,618 2038 Forecast development: 2,627 2037 Forecast development: 2,714 2036 Forecast development: 2,742 2035 Forecast development: 2,875 2034 Forecast development: 2,964 2033 Forecast development: 3,168 2032 Forecast development: 3,262 2031 Forecast development: 3,329 2030 Forecast development: 3,478 2029 Forecast development: 3,604 2028 Forecast development: 3,749 2027 Forecast development: 3,825 2026 Forecast development: 3,935 2025 Forecast development: 3,913 2024 Forecast development: 3,822 2023 Forecast development: 3,677 2022 Forecast development: 3,710 2021 Forecast development: 3,958 2020 Forecast development: 4,480 2019 Forecast development: 4,816 2018 Forecast development: 5,280 2017 Forecast development: 5,048
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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