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Cranbourne North

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Cranbourne North will increase by an average of 125 dwellings per annum to 9,777 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Casey. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Sierra Estate
  • Cranbourne North Stage 1 Development (Eve Estate)
  • 2S Paxford Dr
  • The Avenue At Casey & Arbourlea Estates
  • 1435 Thompsons Road
  • Tullalian Estate
  • 695 Berwick-Cranbourne Rd
  • Cranbourne North Stage 1 Future Development
  • Casey Central Town Centre
  • 470 Narre Warren Road
  • Future Potential
  • Small sites - 9 dwellings
  • Low level of infill (0-2 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 9,777 2040 Total dwellings: 9,775 2039 Total dwellings: 9,773 2038 Total dwellings: 9,771 2037 Total dwellings: 9,769 2036 Total dwellings: 9,767 2035 Total dwellings: 9,765 2034 Total dwellings: 9,763 2033 Total dwellings: 9,761 2032 Total dwellings: 9,759 2031 Total dwellings: 9,757 2030 Total dwellings: 9,755 2029 Total dwellings: 9,753 2028 Total dwellings: 9,751 2027 Total dwellings: 9,716 2026 Total dwellings: 9,639 2025 Total dwellings: 9,509 2024 Total dwellings: 9,376 2023 Total dwellings: 9,216 2022 Total dwellings: 9,026 2021 Total dwellings: 8,836 2020 Total dwellings: 8,596 2019 Total dwellings: 8,206 2018 Total dwellings: 7,741 2017 Total dwellings: 7,184 2041 Total dwellings: 9,777 2040 Total dwellings: 9,775 2039 Total dwellings: 9,773 2038 Total dwellings: 9,771 2037 Total dwellings: 9,769 2036 Total dwellings: 9,767 2035 Total dwellings: 9,765 2034 Total dwellings: 9,763 2033 Total dwellings: 9,761 2032 Total dwellings: 9,759 2031 Total dwellings: 9,757 2030 Total dwellings: 9,755 2029 Total dwellings: 9,753 2028 Total dwellings: 9,751 2027 Total dwellings: 9,716 2026 Total dwellings: 9,639 2025 Total dwellings: 9,509 2024 Total dwellings: 9,376 2023 Total dwellings: 9,216 2022 Total dwellings: 9,026 2021 Total dwellings: 8,836 2020 Total dwellings: 8,596 2019 Total dwellings: 8,206 2018 Total dwellings: 7,741 2017 Total dwellings: 7,184 2041 Forecast development: 2 2040 Forecast development: 2 2039 Forecast development: 2 2038 Forecast development: 2 2037 Forecast development: 2 2036 Forecast development: 2 2035 Forecast development: 2 2034 Forecast development: 2 2033 Forecast development: 2 2032 Forecast development: 2 2031 Forecast development: 2 2030 Forecast development: 2 2029 Forecast development: 2 2028 Forecast development: 35 2027 Forecast development: 77 2026 Forecast development: 130 2025 Forecast development: 133 2024 Forecast development: 160 2023 Forecast development: 190 2022 Forecast development: 190 2021 Forecast development: 240 2020 Forecast development: 390 2019 Forecast development: 465 2018 Forecast development: 557 2017 Forecast development: 543
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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