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Cranbourne

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Cranbourne will increase by an average of 110 dwellings per annum to 10,455 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Casey. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Fairway Park Estate
  • 1160 Thompsons Rd
  • Bendigo Court
  • Maddison Gardens Estate - Stage 2
  • Maddison Gardens Estate - Stage3&4
  • 48 Childers St
  • Amstel Golf Course Unnamed Future Development
  • Earlston Circuit, Future Residential Development
  • Cranbourne - ACZ potential
  • Cranbourne RGZ
  • Cranbourne - ACZ potential
  • Small sites - 4 dwellings
  • Moderate-high level of infill (20-35 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 10,455 2040 Total dwellings: 10,320 2039 Total dwellings: 10,190 2038 Total dwellings: 10,060 2037 Total dwellings: 9,955 2036 Total dwellings: 9,865 2035 Total dwellings: 9,775 2034 Total dwellings: 9,695 2033 Total dwellings: 9,615 2032 Total dwellings: 9,525 2031 Total dwellings: 9,425 2030 Total dwellings: 9,315 2029 Total dwellings: 9,165 2028 Total dwellings: 9,005 2027 Total dwellings: 8,845 2026 Total dwellings: 8,715 2025 Total dwellings: 8,580 2024 Total dwellings: 8,445 2023 Total dwellings: 8,320 2022 Total dwellings: 8,195 2021 Total dwellings: 8,050 2020 Total dwellings: 8,008 2019 Total dwellings: 7,978 2018 Total dwellings: 7,948 2017 Total dwellings: 7,830 2041 Total dwellings: 10,455 2040 Total dwellings: 10,320 2039 Total dwellings: 10,190 2038 Total dwellings: 10,060 2037 Total dwellings: 9,955 2036 Total dwellings: 9,865 2035 Total dwellings: 9,775 2034 Total dwellings: 9,695 2033 Total dwellings: 9,615 2032 Total dwellings: 9,525 2031 Total dwellings: 9,425 2030 Total dwellings: 9,315 2029 Total dwellings: 9,165 2028 Total dwellings: 9,005 2027 Total dwellings: 8,845 2026 Total dwellings: 8,715 2025 Total dwellings: 8,580 2024 Total dwellings: 8,445 2023 Total dwellings: 8,320 2022 Total dwellings: 8,195 2021 Total dwellings: 8,050 2020 Total dwellings: 8,008 2019 Total dwellings: 7,978 2018 Total dwellings: 7,948 2017 Total dwellings: 7,830 2041 Forecast development: 135 2040 Forecast development: 130 2039 Forecast development: 130 2038 Forecast development: 105 2037 Forecast development: 90 2036 Forecast development: 90 2035 Forecast development: 80 2034 Forecast development: 80 2033 Forecast development: 90 2032 Forecast development: 100 2031 Forecast development: 110 2030 Forecast development: 150 2029 Forecast development: 160 2028 Forecast development: 160 2027 Forecast development: 130 2026 Forecast development: 135 2025 Forecast development: 135 2024 Forecast development: 125 2023 Forecast development: 125 2022 Forecast development: 145 2021 Forecast development: 42 2020 Forecast development: 30 2019 Forecast development: 30 2018 Forecast development: 118 2017 Forecast development: 132
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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