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Narre Warren South

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Narre Warren South will increase by an average of 20 dwellings per annum to 9,559 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Casey. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • 290 Centre Road
  • Kimberly Downs Estate
  • Sanctuary Berwick Springs
  • 50S Filmer Crescent Subdivision
  • Glasscocks Road Future Development
  • 38-40 Shrives Road
  • Low level of infill (3-8 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 9,559 2040 Total dwellings: 9,551 2039 Total dwellings: 9,543 2038 Total dwellings: 9,535 2037 Total dwellings: 9,527 2036 Total dwellings: 9,519 2035 Total dwellings: 9,511 2034 Total dwellings: 9,503 2033 Total dwellings: 9,495 2032 Total dwellings: 9,487 2031 Total dwellings: 9,479 2030 Total dwellings: 9,471 2029 Total dwellings: 9,463 2028 Total dwellings: 9,455 2027 Total dwellings: 9,447 2026 Total dwellings: 9,440 2025 Total dwellings: 9,435 2024 Total dwellings: 9,430 2023 Total dwellings: 9,425 2022 Total dwellings: 9,416 2021 Total dwellings: 9,388 2020 Total dwellings: 9,360 2019 Total dwellings: 9,266 2018 Total dwellings: 9,167 2017 Total dwellings: 9,121 2041 Total dwellings: 9,559 2040 Total dwellings: 9,551 2039 Total dwellings: 9,543 2038 Total dwellings: 9,535 2037 Total dwellings: 9,527 2036 Total dwellings: 9,519 2035 Total dwellings: 9,511 2034 Total dwellings: 9,503 2033 Total dwellings: 9,495 2032 Total dwellings: 9,487 2031 Total dwellings: 9,479 2030 Total dwellings: 9,471 2029 Total dwellings: 9,463 2028 Total dwellings: 9,455 2027 Total dwellings: 9,447 2026 Total dwellings: 9,440 2025 Total dwellings: 9,435 2024 Total dwellings: 9,430 2023 Total dwellings: 9,425 2022 Total dwellings: 9,416 2021 Total dwellings: 9,388 2020 Total dwellings: 9,360 2019 Total dwellings: 9,266 2018 Total dwellings: 9,167 2017 Total dwellings: 9,121 2041 Forecast development: 8 2040 Forecast development: 8 2039 Forecast development: 8 2038 Forecast development: 8 2037 Forecast development: 8 2036 Forecast development: 8 2035 Forecast development: 8 2034 Forecast development: 8 2033 Forecast development: 8 2032 Forecast development: 8 2031 Forecast development: 8 2030 Forecast development: 8 2029 Forecast development: 8 2028 Forecast development: 8 2027 Forecast development: 7 2026 Forecast development: 5 2025 Forecast development: 5 2024 Forecast development: 5 2023 Forecast development: 9 2022 Forecast development: 28 2021 Forecast development: 28 2020 Forecast development: 94 2019 Forecast development: 99 2018 Forecast development: 46 2017 Forecast development: 66
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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