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Bathurst Regional CouncilPopulation forecast

Kelso (North) - Laffing Waters

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Kelso (North) - Laffing Waters indicate a 10.0% increase in population under working age, a 27.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 17.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Kelso (North) - Laffing Waters is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Kelso (North) - Laffing Waters - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44997.56087.87307.8+231
5 to 95688.55937.67107.6+142
10 to 145498.25767.46907.4+142
15 to 194977.45617.26286.7+131
20 to 243655.55116.55816.2+216
25 to 294006.04906.35926.3+191
30 to 344326.55016.46266.7+194
35 to 393945.95256.76326.8+237
40 to 444146.24936.35756.1+162
45 to 494506.74405.65405.8+90
50 to 543645.54295.55045.4+140
55 to 593905.84255.44554.9+66
60 to 643345.03674.74344.6+100
65 to 693234.83764.84224.5+99
70 to 742293.43053.93433.7+114
75 to 791722.62623.33163.4+144
80 to 841402.11742.22702.9+131
85 and over1552.31852.43083.3+153
Total persons6,675100.07,820100.09,357100.0+2,682
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Kelso (North) - Laffing Waters was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 8.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 146 and account for 6.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 608 persons.

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