Bathurst Regional CouncilPopulation forecast
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Bathurst (Central)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Bathurst (Central) indicate a 11.2% increase in population under working age, a 17.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 6.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bathurst Regional is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bathurst (Central) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43234.53374.33404.1+17
5 to 93024.23033.93003.6-2
10 to 142653.73504.53654.4+100
15 to 194546.47519.77829.4+329
20 to 2498513.887811.395511.5-31
25 to 2973710.35386.96347.6-103
30 to 344446.24786.14715.7+27
35 to 393524.94505.84185.0+66
40 to 443484.94205.44445.3+96
45 to 493795.34015.24515.4+72
50 to 544376.14305.54805.8+42
55 to 593965.54445.74655.6+69
60 to 643945.54425.74445.3+49
65 to 693084.34235.44655.6+157
70 to 743374.74085.34495.4+112
75 to 792343.32593.33424.1+109
80 to 841782.52212.82693.2+91
85 and over2673.72433.12563.1-11
Total persons7,140100.07,775100.08,329100.0+1,189

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 256 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 269 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 342 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 449 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 465 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 444 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 465 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 480 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 451 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 444 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 418 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 471 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 634 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 955 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 782 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 365 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 300 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 340 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 243 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 221 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 259 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 408 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 423 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 442 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 444 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 430 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 401 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 420 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 450 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 478 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 538 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 878 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 751 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 350 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 303 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 337 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 267 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 178 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 234 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 337 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 308 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 394 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 396 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 437 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 379 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 348 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 352 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 444 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 737 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 985 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 454 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 265 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 302 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 323
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 84 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 40 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 41 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 50 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 50 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -32 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -7 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 96 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 77 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 32 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 15 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -24 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 43 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 25 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 72 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 115 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 47 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 48 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -7 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 22 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 72 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 98 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 34 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -199 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -107 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 297 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 84 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 1 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 14
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Bathurst (Central) was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 13.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 297 and account for 9.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 878 persons.

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