Bathurst Regional CouncilPopulation forecast
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Kelso (South)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Kelso (South) indicate a 12.6% increase in population under working age, a 9.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bathurst Regional is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Kelso (South) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 426810.229010.432110.4+53
5 to 92067.82468.82698.7+63
10 to 141917.32137.62377.7+46
15 to 192017.71856.62146.9+13
20 to 242248.61906.82187.1-6
25 to 291937.32137.62367.6+43
30 to 341696.42087.52277.3+58
35 to 391385.21826.52076.7+69
40 to 441766.71535.51845.9+8
45 to 491375.21354.81685.4+30
50 to 541264.81485.31434.6+17
55 to 591274.81154.11193.9-7
60 to 641013.81043.71213.9+21
65 to 691054.01174.21153.7+10
70 to 74933.6933.3983.2+5
75 to 79582.2672.4762.4+17
80 to 84522.0552.0612.0+9
85 and over572.2692.5792.6+23
Total persons2,622100.02,782100.03,095100.0+472

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 79 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 61 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 76 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 98 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 115 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 121 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 119 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 143 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 168 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 184 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 207 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 227 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 236 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 218 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 214 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 237 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 269 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 321 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 69 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 55 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 67 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 93 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 117 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 104 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 115 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 148 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 135 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 153 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 182 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 208 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 213 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 190 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 185 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 213 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 246 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 290 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 57 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 52 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 58 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 93 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 105 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 101 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 127 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 126 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 137 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 176 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 138 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 169 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 193 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 224 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 201 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 191 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 206 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 268
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -2 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 18 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -6 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 33 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 31 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 25 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 19 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 23 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 28 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 29 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 25 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 31 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 12 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 3 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 9 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: -1 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 12 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 3 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -11 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 23 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -3 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -23 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 39 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 20 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -34 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -16 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 40 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 22
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Kelso (South) was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 10.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 44 and account for 6.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 290 persons.

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