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Bathurst Regional CouncilPopulation forecast

Bathurst Regional Council

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Bathurst Regional Council is forecast to grow from 17,530 in 2016 to 22,108 in 2036, with the average household size falling from 2.51 to 2.51 by 2036.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Bathurst Regional Council. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Bathurst Regional CouncilForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population42,38845,24047,80250,38053,361
Change in population (5yrs)--2,8522,5622,5782,981
Average annual change--1.31%1.11%1.06%1.16%
Households16,02117,08518,15619,22420,294
Average household size2.512.522.512.502.51
Population in non private dwellings2,1272,2472,3072,3672,427
Dwellings17,53018,68719,83520,97322,108
Dwelling occupancy rate91.3991.4391.5491.6691.79
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Bathurst Regional Council was estimated to be 42,388 people. It is expected to increase by over 7,992 people to 50,380 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 1.74%. This is based on an increase of over 3,203 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.51 to 2.50 by 2026.

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