Bathurst Regional CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Bathurst Regional

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Bathurst Regional is 15-19 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Bathurst Regional depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Moderate rates of new housing development across the Council area, most notably in Kelso (North) - Laffing Waters, Abercrombie - Llanarth, Eglinton, Windradyne and Bathurst (Central)
  • Developments are expected to attract a range of households, predominantly families (aged 30-49 and 0-14 years) as well as young adults attracted to tertiary and secondary education opportunities
  • Loss of the elderly and people aged 20-29 and is expected in most areas
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -45 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -41 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -227 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -81 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 19 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -15 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 5 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 18 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 132 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 220 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 235 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 143 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 31 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -155 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 285 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 27 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 143 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 275 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -65 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -46 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -169 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -55 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 18 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -16 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -9 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 27 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 110 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 302 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 314 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 150 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -100 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -88 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 368 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 60 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 190 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 304 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -45 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -41 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -227 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -81 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 19 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -15 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 5 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 18 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 132 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 220 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 235 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 143 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 31 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -155 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 285 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 27 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 143 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 275 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -65 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -46 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -169 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -55 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 18 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -16 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -9 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 27 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 110 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 302 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 314 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 150 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -100 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -88 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 368 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 60 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 190 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 304
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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