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Bathurst Regional CouncilPopulation forecast

Bathurst Regional Council

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Bathurst Regional Council indicate a 11.2% increase in population under working age, a 26.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 9.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bathurst Regional Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bathurst Regional Council - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,7616.53,1646.63,5536.7+792
5 to 92,9256.93,1926.73,5626.7+637
10 to 142,8816.83,1706.63,5576.7+676
15 to 193,1037.33,6817.73,9637.4+860
20 to 243,3768.03,5747.53,8627.2+486
25 to 292,8996.82,8586.03,2226.0+323
30 to 342,5996.12,9116.13,2156.0+616
35 to 392,3545.63,0456.43,3216.2+968
40 to 442,6316.22,9776.23,3446.3+712
45 to 492,6946.42,8035.93,3086.2+614
50 to 542,5806.12,8015.93,1275.9+547
55 to 592,6006.12,6795.62,8655.4+265
60 to 642,3355.52,5095.22,7445.1+409
65 to 692,1585.12,4675.22,6304.9+471
70 to 741,6673.92,1494.52,3584.4+691
75 to 791,1332.71,6703.51,9473.6+814
80 to 848302.01,0762.31,3932.6+562
85 and over8622.01,0742.21,3892.6+527
Total persons42,388100.047,802100.053,361100.0+10,973
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Bathurst Regional Council was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 691 and account for 6.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 3,681 persons.

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