Bathurst Regional CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Bathurst Regional

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Bathurst Regional indicate a 11.2% increase in population under working age, a 26.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 9.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bathurst Regional is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bathurst Regional - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 2,7616.53,1646.63,5536.7+792
5 to 9 2,9256.93,1926.73,5626.7+637
10 to 14 2,8816.83,1706.63,5576.7+676
15 to 19 3,1037.33,6817.73,9637.4+860
20 to 24 3,3768.03,5747.53,8627.2+486
25 to 29 2,8996.82,8586.03,2226.0+323
30 to 34 2,5996.12,9116.13,2156.0+616
35 to 39 2,3545.63,0456.43,3216.2+968
40 to 44 2,6316.22,9776.23,3446.3+712
45 to 49 2,6946.42,8035.93,3086.2+614
50 to 54 2,5806.12,8015.93,1275.9+547
55 to 59 2,6006.12,6795.62,8655.4+265
60 to 64 2,3355.52,5095.22,7445.1+409
65 to 69 2,1585.12,4675.22,6304.9+471
70 to 74 1,6673.92,1494.52,3584.4+691
75 to 79 1,1332.71,6703.51,9473.6+814
80 to 84 8302.01,0762.31,3932.6+562
85 and over8622.01,0742.21,3892.6+527
Total persons42,388100.047,802100.053,361100.0+10,973

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,389 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 1,393 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 1,947 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 2,358 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 2,630 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 2,744 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 2,865 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 3,127 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 3,308 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 3,344 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 3,321 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 3,215 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 3,222 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 3,862 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 3,963 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 3,557 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 3,562 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 3,553 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,074 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,076 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,670 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 2,149 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 2,467 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 2,509 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 2,679 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 2,801 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 2,803 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 2,977 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 3,045 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,911 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 2,858 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 3,574 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 3,681 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 3,170 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 3,192 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 3,164 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 862 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 830 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 1,133 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 1,667 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 2,158 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 2,335 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 2,600 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 2,580 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 2,694 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 2,631 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 2,354 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 2,599 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 2,899 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 3,376 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 3,103 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 2,881 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 2,925 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 2,761
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 315 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 317 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 277 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 209 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 163 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 235 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 186 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 326 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 505 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 367 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 277 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 304 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 364 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 288 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 282 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 387 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 370 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 389 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 212 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 245 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 538 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 482 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 309 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 173 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 79 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 221 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 109 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 346 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 691 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 313 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -41 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 198 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 578 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 289 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 267 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 403
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Bathurst Regional was ages 20 to 24 , which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39 , which is expected to increase by 691 and account for 6.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 3,681 persons.

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