City of Greater GeelongPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Greater Geelong

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in City of Greater Geelong will increase by an average of 2,112 dwellings per annum to 149,346 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Greater Geelong. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
City of Greater GeelongChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
City of Greater Geelong+42,242+39.4
Armstrong Creek+7,636+498.9
Barwon Heads - Connewarre - Breamlea+455+17.3
Bell Park+342+14.2
Bell Post Hill+204+9.3
Belmont+870+12.9
Clifton Springs+939+27.3
Corio+451+7.2
Curlewis+2,036+324.4
Drysdale - Bellarine+922+47.3
East Geelong+195+10.4
Geelong - South Geelong - Drumcondra+1,402+39.5
Geelong West - Manifold Heights+338+7.2
Grovedale+948+15.7
Hamlyn Heights+300+10.5
Herne Hill - Fyansford+1,176+64.3
Highton - Wandana Heights - Ceres+1,912+22.5
Lara+3,572+60.7
Leopold+2,389+45.5
Lovely Banks - Batesford - Moorabool+1,152+115.7
Marshall - Charlemont+2,602+258.3
Mount Duneed+3,507+780.2
Newcomb - Moolap+336+11.4
Newtown+581+12.7
Norlane - North Shore+740+16.8
North Geelong - Rippleside+319+19.8
Ocean Grove+2,031+27.2
Portarlington+1,035+36.6
Rural Bellarine Peninsula+991+73.9
Rural North+120+17.9
St Albans Park+250+11.5
St Leonards - Indented Head+1,678+46.9
Thomson - Breakwater+160+11.2
Waurn Ponds+491+33.3
Whittington+162+8.7

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 149,346 2035 Total dwellings: 147,312 2034 Total dwellings: 145,273 2033 Total dwellings: 143,226 2032 Total dwellings: 141,134 2031 Total dwellings: 139,014 2030 Total dwellings: 136,875 2029 Total dwellings: 134,748 2028 Total dwellings: 132,581 2027 Total dwellings: 130,463 2026 Total dwellings: 128,342 2025 Total dwellings: 126,185 2024 Total dwellings: 124,099 2023 Total dwellings: 121,964 2022 Total dwellings: 119,816 2021 Total dwellings: 117,632 2020 Total dwellings: 115,529 2019 Total dwellings: 113,396 2018 Total dwellings: 111,175 2017 Total dwellings: 109,121 2036 Total dwellings: 149,346 2035 Total dwellings: 147,312 2034 Total dwellings: 145,273 2033 Total dwellings: 143,226 2032 Total dwellings: 141,134 2031 Total dwellings: 139,014 2030 Total dwellings: 136,875 2029 Total dwellings: 134,748 2028 Total dwellings: 132,581 2027 Total dwellings: 130,463 2026 Total dwellings: 128,342 2025 Total dwellings: 126,185 2024 Total dwellings: 124,099 2023 Total dwellings: 121,964 2022 Total dwellings: 119,816 2021 Total dwellings: 117,632 2020 Total dwellings: 115,529 2019 Total dwellings: 113,396 2018 Total dwellings: 111,175 2017 Total dwellings: 109,121 2036 Forecast development: 2,034 2035 Forecast development: 2,039 2034 Forecast development: 2,047 2033 Forecast development: 2,092 2032 Forecast development: 2,120 2031 Forecast development: 2,139 2030 Forecast development: 2,127 2029 Forecast development: 2,167 2028 Forecast development: 2,118 2027 Forecast development: 2,121 2026 Forecast development: 2,157 2025 Forecast development: 2,086 2024 Forecast development: 2,135 2023 Forecast development: 2,148 2022 Forecast development: 2,184 2021 Forecast development: 2,103 2020 Forecast development: 2,133 2019 Forecast development: 2,221 2018 Forecast development: 2,054 2017 Forecast development: 2,017
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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