City of Greater GeelongPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

City of Greater Geelong

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Greater Geelong is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Greater Geelong depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Gain of family households (0-14 and 30-44 year olds)
  • In the period 2016, a larger gain in the young adult age groups (18-24 years), as housing opportunities increase in the growth areas.
  • Small gain in 55-64 year olds
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 338 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 207 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 197 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 254 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 386 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 771 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 777 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 889 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 1,172 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 1,391 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,850 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,402 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,291 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,994 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 946 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 709 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 1,023 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,323 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 379 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 263 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 323 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 182 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 354 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 675 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 604 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 1,047 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 1,038 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,857 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 2,298 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,481 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 831 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,508 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,299 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 1,108 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 1,021 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 1,129 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 338 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 207 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 197 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 254 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 386 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 771 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 777 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 889 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 1,172 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 1,391 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,850 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,402 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,291 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,994 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 946 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 709 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 1,023 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,323 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 379 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 263 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 323 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 182 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 354 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 675 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 604 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 1,047 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 1,038 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,857 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 2,298 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,481 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 831 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,508 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,299 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 1,108 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 1,021 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 1,129
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
v18.09.10-1.0.0