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City of Greater GeelongPopulation forecast

City of Greater Geelong

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in the City of Greater Geelong is forecast to grow from 106,568 in 2016 to 176,622 in 2041, with the average household size rising from 2.43 to 2.43 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the City of Greater Geelong. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
City of Greater GeelongForecast year
Change in population (5yrs)--29,45329,73231,71130,58632,203
Average annual change--2.35%2.12%2.04%1.79%1.72%
Average household size2.432.442.442.442.442.43
Population in non private dwellings6,4096,9727,3567,7768,2198,219
Dwelling occupancy rate89.9389.7389.3989.3589.4189.52
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of the City of Greater Geelong was estimated to be 239,531 people. It is expected to increase by over 90,897 people to 330,428 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 3.27%. This is based on an increase of over 36,492 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 2.43 to 2.44 by 2026.

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