City of Greater GeelongPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

City of Greater Geelong

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the City of Greater Geelong is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 21,944 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
City of Greater GeelongForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--14,86215,85516,85517,995
Deaths--10,92611,48812,60413,839
Natural increase/decrease--3,9364,3674,2514,157
Net migration--17,39516,92017,12117,346
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--482334423442

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 4,319 2035 forecast population change: 4,721 2034 forecast population change: 4,298 2033 forecast population change: 4,326 2032 forecast population change: 4,282 2031 forecast population change: 4,335 2030 forecast population change: 4,671 2029 forecast population change: 4,378 2028 forecast population change: 4,227 2027 forecast population change: 4,185 2026 forecast population change: 4,329 2025 forecast population change: 4,390 2024 forecast population change: 4,214 2023 forecast population change: 4,345 2022 forecast population change: 4,343 2021 forecast population change: 4,309 2020 forecast population change: 4,569 2019 forecast population change: 4,472 2018 forecast population change: 4,287 2017 forecast population change: 4,175
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 833 2035 Natural increase: 829 2034 Natural increase: 829 2033 Natural increase: 831 2032 Natural increase: 834 2031 Natural increase: 841 2030 Natural increase: 846 2029 Natural increase: 849 2028 Natural increase: 854 2027 Natural increase: 861 2026 Natural increase: 868 2025 Natural increase: 877 2024 Natural increase: 877 2023 Natural increase: 876 2022 Natural increase: 870 2021 Natural increase: 857 2020 Natural increase: 836 2019 Natural increase: 796 2018 Natural increase: 749 2017 Natural increase: 699 2036 Total deaths: 2,861 2035 Total deaths: 2,816 2034 Total deaths: 2,770 2033 Total deaths: 2,720 2032 Total deaths: 2,671 2031 Total deaths: 2,617 2030 Total deaths: 2,568 2029 Total deaths: 2,520 2028 Total deaths: 2,473 2027 Total deaths: 2,426 2026 Total deaths: 2,378 2025 Total deaths: 2,333 2024 Total deaths: 2,295 2023 Total deaths: 2,258 2022 Total deaths: 2,225 2021 Total deaths: 2,199 2020 Total deaths: 2,179 2019 Total deaths: 2,172 2018 Total deaths: 2,172 2017 Total deaths: 2,203 2036 Total births: 3,695 2035 Total births: 3,646 2034 Total births: 3,599 2033 Total births: 3,551 2032 Total births: 3,505 2031 Total births: 3,458 2030 Total births: 3,414 2029 Total births: 3,369 2028 Total births: 3,327 2027 Total births: 3,287 2026 Total births: 3,246 2025 Total births: 3,209 2024 Total births: 3,172 2023 Total births: 3,133 2022 Total births: 3,095 2021 Total births: 3,056 2020 Total births: 3,015 2019 Total births: 2,968 2018 Total births: 2,921 2017 Total births: 2,903 2036 Natural increase: 833 2035 Natural increase: 829 2034 Natural increase: 829 2033 Natural increase: 831 2032 Natural increase: 834 2031 Natural increase: 841 2030 Natural increase: 846 2029 Natural increase: 849 2028 Natural increase: 854 2027 Natural increase: 861 2026 Natural increase: 868 2025 Natural increase: 877 2024 Natural increase: 877 2023 Natural increase: 876 2022 Natural increase: 870 2021 Natural increase: 857 2020 Natural increase: 836 2019 Natural increase: 796 2018 Natural increase: 749 2017 Natural increase: 699 2036 Total deaths: 2,861 2035 Total deaths: 2,816 2034 Total deaths: 2,770 2033 Total deaths: 2,720 2032 Total deaths: 2,671 2031 Total deaths: 2,617 2030 Total deaths: 2,568 2029 Total deaths: 2,520 2028 Total deaths: 2,473 2027 Total deaths: 2,426 2026 Total deaths: 2,378 2025 Total deaths: 2,333 2024 Total deaths: 2,295 2023 Total deaths: 2,258 2022 Total deaths: 2,225 2021 Total deaths: 2,199 2020 Total deaths: 2,179 2019 Total deaths: 2,172 2018 Total deaths: 2,172 2017 Total deaths: 2,203 2036 Total births: 3,695 2035 Total births: 3,646 2034 Total births: 3,599 2033 Total births: 3,551 2032 Total births: 3,505 2031 Total births: 3,458 2030 Total births: 3,414 2029 Total births: 3,369 2028 Total births: 3,327 2027 Total births: 3,287 2026 Total births: 3,246 2025 Total births: 3,209 2024 Total births: 3,172 2023 Total births: 3,133 2022 Total births: 3,095 2021 Total births: 3,056 2020 Total births: 3,015 2019 Total births: 2,968 2018 Total births: 2,921 2017 Total births: 2,903
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 3,479 2035 Total net migration: 3,497 2034 Total net migration: 3,441 2033 Total net migration: 3,487 2032 Total net migration: 3,442 2031 Total net migration: 3,487 2030 Total net migration: 3,439 2029 Total net migration: 3,513 2028 Total net migration: 3,366 2027 Total net migration: 3,316 2026 Total net migration: 3,450 2025 Total net migration: 3,231 2024 Total net migration: 3,317 2023 Total net migration: 3,459 2022 Total net migration: 3,463 2021 Total net migration: 3,442 2020 Total net migration: 3,494 2019 Total net migration: 3,660 2018 Total net migration: 3,402 2017 Total net migration: 3,397 2036 Total out migration: 25,445 2035 Total out migration: 25,112 2034 Total out migration: 24,789 2033 Total out migration: 24,460 2032 Total out migration: 24,134 2031 Total out migration: 23,798 2030 Total out migration: 23,474 2029 Total out migration: 23,150 2028 Total out migration: 22,842 2027 Total out migration: 22,539 2026 Total out migration: 22,228 2025 Total out migration: 21,948 2024 Total out migration: 21,660 2023 Total out migration: 21,360 2022 Total out migration: 21,058 2021 Total out migration: 20,754 2020 Total out migration: 20,438 2019 Total out migration: 20,104 2018 Total out migration: 19,791 2017 Total out migration: 19,492 2036 Total in migration: 28,924 2035 Total in migration: 28,609 2034 Total in migration: 28,230 2033 Total in migration: 27,947 2032 Total in migration: 27,576 2031 Total in migration: 27,285 2030 Total in migration: 26,913 2029 Total in migration: 26,662 2028 Total in migration: 26,208 2027 Total in migration: 25,856 2026 Total in migration: 25,678 2025 Total in migration: 25,179 2024 Total in migration: 24,977 2023 Total in migration: 24,819 2022 Total in migration: 24,521 2021 Total in migration: 24,196 2020 Total in migration: 23,932 2019 Total in migration: 23,763 2018 Total in migration: 23,193 2017 Total in migration: 22,889 2036 Total net migration: 3,479 2035 Total net migration: 3,497 2034 Total net migration: 3,441 2033 Total net migration: 3,487 2032 Total net migration: 3,442 2031 Total net migration: 3,487 2030 Total net migration: 3,439 2029 Total net migration: 3,513 2028 Total net migration: 3,366 2027 Total net migration: 3,316 2026 Total net migration: 3,450 2025 Total net migration: 3,231 2024 Total net migration: 3,317 2023 Total net migration: 3,459 2022 Total net migration: 3,463 2021 Total net migration: 3,442 2020 Total net migration: 3,494 2019 Total net migration: 3,660 2018 Total net migration: 3,402 2017 Total net migration: 3,397 2036 Total out migration: 25,445 2035 Total out migration: 25,112 2034 Total out migration: 24,789 2033 Total out migration: 24,460 2032 Total out migration: 24,134 2031 Total out migration: 23,798 2030 Total out migration: 23,474 2029 Total out migration: 23,150 2028 Total out migration: 22,842 2027 Total out migration: 22,539 2026 Total out migration: 22,228 2025 Total out migration: 21,948 2024 Total out migration: 21,660 2023 Total out migration: 21,360 2022 Total out migration: 21,058 2021 Total out migration: 20,754 2020 Total out migration: 20,438 2019 Total out migration: 20,104 2018 Total out migration: 19,791 2017 Total out migration: 19,492 2036 Total in migration: 28,924 2035 Total in migration: 28,609 2034 Total in migration: 28,230 2033 Total in migration: 27,947 2032 Total in migration: 27,576 2031 Total in migration: 27,285 2030 Total in migration: 26,913 2029 Total in migration: 26,662 2028 Total in migration: 26,208 2027 Total in migration: 25,856 2026 Total in migration: 25,678 2025 Total in migration: 25,179 2024 Total in migration: 24,977 2023 Total in migration: 24,819 2022 Total in migration: 24,521 2021 Total in migration: 24,196 2020 Total in migration: 23,932 2019 Total in migration: 23,763 2018 Total in migration: 23,193 2017 Total in migration: 22,889
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
v18.09.10-1.0.0