City of Greater GeelongPopulation forecast

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Greater Geelong

Population summary

Between 2016 and 2036, the population for the City of Greater Geelong is forecast to increase by 87,174 persons (36.53% growth), at an average annual change of 1.57%.

This table summarises the population for the City of Greater Geelong and each of its small areas. This enables you to see how population change is affecting different parts of the LGA in different ways. Some small areas may be rapidly growing whilst others are stable or even declining in population.

Continue to the forecast results section to see detailed forecasts of population, households, and dwellings for each of the small areas.

Please note that population numbers in for the 2016 base year are derived from Estimated Resident Population from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. These differ from (and are usually higher than) Census counts as they factor in population missed by the Census and population overseas on Census night. They are generally considered a more accurate measure of population size than Census counts.

Population summary
City of Greater GeelongForecast yearChange between 2016 and 2036
Area20162021202620312036Total changeAvg. annual % change
City of Greater Geelong238,605260,418282,038303,834325,779+87,174+1.57
Armstrong Creek4,3619,62515,24220,34824,718+20,356+9.06
Barwon Heads - Connewarre - Breamlea4,7494,7884,8194,8624,968+219+0.23
Bell Park5,2705,7615,8695,9976,118+848+0.75
Bell Post Hill5,0425,1405,2345,3035,399+357+0.34
Clifton Springs7,5308,3249,0389,5019,746+2,216+1.30
Drysdale - Bellarine4,5415,0465,4935,9526,493+1,952+1.80
East Geelong4,0084,0564,0874,1614,225+217+0.26
Geelong - South Geelong - Drumcondra6,9217,7658,4529,0889,705+2,785+1.71
Geelong West - Manifold Heights9,76910,0509,9669,9039,901+132+0.07
Hamlyn Heights6,4086,5976,7286,8216,913+505+0.38
Herne Hill - Fyansford3,6084,0474,6365,5056,083+2,474+2.65
Highton - Wandana Heights - Ceres22,10923,68124,45224,38624,176+2,067+0.45
Lovely Banks - Batesford - Moorabool2,7392,6863,1404,3195,575+2,836+3.62
Marshall - Charlemont2,2604,0775,9157,2198,742+6,482+7.00
Mount Duneed1,2192,5944,9477,61010,988+9,769+11.62
Newcomb - Moolap5,9436,2756,4286,4776,505+563+0.45
Norlane - North Shore8,8469,2409,67310,06210,298+1,452+0.76
North Geelong - Rippleside3,8734,2814,3444,3064,308+435+0.53
Ocean Grove14,56315,49416,14916,79717,545+2,982+0.94
Rural Bellarine Peninsula2,8853,4174,1124,5124,709+1,825+2.48
Rural North1,8041,8821,9331,9902,065+261+0.68
St Albans Park4,8884,9715,0975,1985,283+395+0.39
St Leonards - Indented Head3,6854,2644,7885,3055,792+2,107+2.29
Thomson - Breakwater2,6662,7672,8242,8652,920+253+0.46
Waurn Ponds4,9324,9665,0235,7266,066+1,134+1.04

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.