City of Greater GeelongPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Greater Geelong

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Greater Geelong indicate a 14.6% increase in population under working age, a 31.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 15.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Greater Geelong is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Greater Geelong - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 15,3016.416,4195.818,5985.7+3,297
5 to 9 14,8356.216,8306.018,8735.8+4,037
10 to 14 13,8185.817,1116.118,7325.7+4,914
15 to 19 14,9146.317,2726.119,0855.9+4,171
20 to 24 16,7657.017,2146.119,7186.1+2,952
25 to 29 16,0706.717,7476.320,1506.2+4,080
30 to 34 15,5166.518,4276.520,6176.3+5,101
35 to 39 14,3126.018,9446.721,5126.6+7,200
40 to 44 15,5166.518,8226.721,7966.7+6,280
45 to 49 15,0966.317,5586.221,1276.5+6,031
50 to 54 15,0436.317,3766.220,3136.2+5,269
55 to 59 14,9086.216,5935.919,0695.9+4,161
60 to 64 13,9385.815,9325.618,3735.6+4,436
65 to 69 13,2365.515,1825.417,2315.3+3,995
70 to 74 10,0214.213,4274.815,6374.8+5,616
75 to 79 7,5433.211,5464.113,6864.2+6,142
80 to 84 5,4772.38,0832.910,7103.3+5,232
85 and over6,2942.67,5552.710,5533.2+4,259
Total persons238,605100.0282,038100.0325,779100.0+87,174

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 10,553 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 10,710 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 13,686 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 15,637 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 17,231 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 18,373 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 19,069 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 20,313 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 21,127 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 21,796 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 21,512 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 20,617 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 20,150 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 19,718 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 19,085 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 18,732 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 18,873 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 18,598 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 7,555 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 8,083 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 11,546 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 13,427 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 15,182 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 15,932 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 16,593 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 17,376 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 17,558 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 18,822 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 18,944 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 18,427 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 17,747 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 17,214 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 17,272 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 17,111 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 16,830 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 16,419 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 6,294 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 5,477 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 7,543 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 10,021 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 13,236 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 13,938 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 14,908 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 15,043 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 15,096 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 15,516 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 14,312 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 15,516 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 16,070 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 16,765 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 14,914 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 13,818 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 14,835 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 15,301
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 2,998 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 2,626 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 2,139 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 2,210 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 2,049 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 2,442 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 2,476 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 2,937 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 3,570 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 2,974 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 2,567 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 2,191 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 2,403 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 2,503 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 1,813 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 1,621 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 2,043 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 2,180 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 1,261 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 2,606 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 4,003 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 3,405 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 1,946 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 1,994 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 1,686 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 2,333 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 2,461 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 3,306 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 4,632 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 2,911 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 1,677 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 449 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 2,358 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 3,293 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 1,995 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 1,117
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Greater Geelong was ages 20 to 24 , which accounted for 7.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39 , which is expected to increase by 4,632 and account for 6.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 18,944 persons.

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