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City of Greater GeelongPopulation forecast

St Leonards - Indented Head

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for St Leonards - Indented Head indicate a 1.0% decrease in females under working age, a 5.2% increase in females of retirement age, and a 1.2% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Greater Geelong is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
St Leonards - Indented Head - Total females[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222041Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4813.3803.1892.5+8
5 to 9853.4803.2882.5+3
10 to 141204.91234.91123.2-8
15 to 19692.8863.41032.9+34
20 to 24853.4672.6962.7+12
25 to 291114.51124.41253.5+14
30 to 34973.91014.01393.9+42
35 to 391044.21044.11293.6+25
40 to 441134.51134.41454.1+32
45 to 491616.51556.11975.6+37
50 to 541797.21867.32366.7+57
55 to 592048.22118.32988.4+94
60 to 6430712.431212.338510.9+78
65 to 6932413.133513.242512.0+101
70 to 742148.62258.93529.9+138
75 to 791355.41345.32737.7+139
80 to 84662.7833.32176.1+150
85 and over281.1301.21323.7+104
Total persons2,483100.02,535100.03,544100.0+1,061
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for females in St Leonards - Indented Head was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 13.1% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 17 and account for 3.4% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2022 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 335 females.

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