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City of Greater GeelongPopulation forecast

Lara

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for Lara indicate a 0.9% increase in females under working age, a 2.1% increase in females of retirement age, and a 1.0% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Greater Geelong is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Lara - Total females[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222041Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46156.86477.08386.7+224
5 to 96467.16356.98636.9+217
10 to 146026.65976.57846.3+182
15 to 195015.54985.46935.6+193
20 to 244665.14865.36595.3+193
25 to 296246.96166.78586.9+234
30 to 347167.97287.91,0028.1+286
35 to 397288.07217.89998.0+271
40 to 445746.36216.78807.1+306
45 to 496266.95996.57756.2+150
50 to 546026.65896.46865.5+84
55 to 594505.04805.25824.7+132
60 to 644414.94504.94793.9+38
65 to 694725.24625.05314.3+59
70 to 744244.74304.75404.3+116
75 to 792572.82883.14423.6+185
80 to 841812.01892.03723.0+191
85 and over1721.91691.84463.6+275
Total persons9,096100.09,206100.012,430100.0+3,334
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for females in Lara was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 8.0% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 47 and account for 6.7% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2022 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 728 females.

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