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Frankston CityPopulation forecast

Karingal Local Area

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Karingal Local Area is forecast to grow from 5,990 in 2016 to 6,356 in 2041, with the average household size falling from 2.37 to 2.33 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Karingal Local Area. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Karingal Local AreaForecast year
Summary201620212026203120362041
Population13,85213,97714,22614,22914,32914,472
Change in population (5yrs)--1262493100143
Average annual change--0.18%0.35%0.00%0.14%0.20%
Households5,7745,8545,9776,0356,0876,138
Average household size2.372.362.352.332.332.33
Population in non private dwellings157157157157157157
Dwellings5,9906,0746,1986,2566,3066,356
Dwelling occupancy rate96.3996.3896.4396.4796.5396.57
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Karingal Local Area was estimated to be 13,852 people. It is expected to increase by over 377 people to 14,229 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 0.27%. This is based on an increase of over 261 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.37 to 2.33 by 2026.

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