City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast
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Vermont South

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Vermont South indicate a 16.3% increase in population under working age, a --% increase in population of retirement age, and a 15.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Whitehorse is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Vermont South - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45294.36254.66964.6+167
5 to 96975.77555.58505.6+153
10 to 146795.58356.19616.4+282
15 to 198957.39366.81,0496.9+154
20 to 248557.09366.81,0206.7+165
25 to 296335.27865.78755.8+242
30 to 345544.57485.58315.5+277
35 to 396515.38646.39666.4+315
40 to 447516.19987.31,1307.5+379
45 to 498456.91,0277.51,1857.8+340
50 to 548066.69336.81,0967.3+290
55 to 597596.27905.89326.2+173
60 to 648096.66855.07755.1-34
65 to 699337.65954.36584.3-275
70 to 746745.55363.95733.8-101
75 to 794833.95494.05013.3+18
80 to 843262.75413.94302.8+104
85 and over3723.05684.15933.9+221
Total persons12,251100.013,706100.015,120100.0+2,869

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 593 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 430 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 501 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 573 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 658 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 775 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 932 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 1,096 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,185 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 1,130 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 966 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 831 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 875 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 1,020 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 1,049 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 961 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 850 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 696 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 568 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 541 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 549 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 536 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 595 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 685 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 790 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 933 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 1,027 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 998 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 864 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 748 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 786 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 936 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 936 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 835 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 755 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 625 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 372 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 326 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 483 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 674 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 933 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 809 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 759 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 806 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 845 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 751 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 651 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 554 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 633 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 855 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 895 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 679 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 697 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 529
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 25 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: -111 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: -48 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: 37 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: 63 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: 90 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: 142 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 164 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: 158 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: 132 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: 102 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: 83 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: 88 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: 84 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: 113 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: 126 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: 95 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 71 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 196 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 215 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 66 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: -138 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: -338 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: -124 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 31 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 127 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 182 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 247 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 213 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 194 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 153 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 81 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 41 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 156 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 58 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 96
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Vermont South was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 247 and account for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 45 to 49 years, with a total of 1,027 persons.

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