City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast
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Box Hill Activity Centre

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Box Hill Activity Centre indicate a 235.7% increase in population under working age, a 189.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 223.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Whitehorse is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Box Hill Activity Centre - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42113.88454.71,0004.6+790
5 to 91312.34072.35492.5+418
10 to 141322.43391.95002.3+368
15 to 193496.21,3907.71,6097.4+1,261
20 to 241,05718.93,16117.63,46115.9+2,404
25 to 291,00718.03,10217.33,40815.6+2,401
30 to 3463411.32,11311.82,37810.9+1,744
35 to 393325.91,3277.41,5657.2+1,233
40 to 442694.89865.51,2305.6+961
45 to 492614.78174.61,0714.9+810
50 to 542103.86793.89314.3+721
55 to 592013.65202.97463.4+545
60 to 641693.04212.36032.8+434
65 to 691412.53872.25502.5+409
70 to 741162.13742.15252.4+409
75 to 791112.03562.05222.4+410
80 to 841011.82721.54502.1+349
85 and over1653.04482.56823.1+517
Total persons5,597100.017,943100.021,780100.0+16,182

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 682 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 450 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 522 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 525 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 550 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 603 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 746 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 931 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,071 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 1,230 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 1,565 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 2,378 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 3,408 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 3,461 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 1,609 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 500 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 549 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 1,000 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 448 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 272 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 356 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 374 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 387 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 421 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 520 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 679 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 817 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 986 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 1,327 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 2,113 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 3,102 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 3,161 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 1,390 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 339 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 407 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 845 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 165 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 101 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 111 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 116 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 141 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 169 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 201 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 210 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 261 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 269 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 332 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 634 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,007 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,057 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 349 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 132 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 131 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 211
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 235 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: 178 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: 166 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: 151 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: 163 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: 182 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: 226 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 252 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: 254 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: 244 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: 238 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: 265 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: 306 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: 300 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: 219 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: 160 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: 142 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 155 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 282 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 170 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 244 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 258 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 246 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 252 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 319 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 469 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 556 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 717 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 995 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 1,479 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 2,095 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 2,104 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 1,042 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 207 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 275 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 634
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Box Hill Activity Centre was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 18.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 2,104 and account for 17.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 3,161 persons.

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