City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast
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Surrey Hills

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Surrey Hills indicate a 0.7% decrease in population under working age, a 31.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.4% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Whitehorse is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Surrey Hills - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43316.03185.53275.6-4
5 to 93526.43335.83405.8-12
10 to 143396.13646.33676.3+28
15 to 193636.63986.93996.8+36
20 to 243937.13956.94006.8+7
25 to 293416.23335.83465.9+5
30 to 343626.53305.73435.8-19
35 to 393396.13636.33726.4+33
40 to 443706.73966.94036.9+33
45 to 494337.83976.93976.8-36
50 to 543506.33516.13606.1+10
55 to 593826.93295.73445.9-38
60 to 643366.13245.63095.3-27
65 to 692915.32744.82764.7-15
70 to 741723.12624.62564.4+84
75 to 791122.02223.92143.6+102
80 to 84981.81773.11923.3+94
85 and over1723.11783.12193.7+47
Total persons5,536100.05,745100.05,863100.0+327

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 219 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 192 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 214 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 256 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 276 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 309 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 344 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 360 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 397 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 403 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 372 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 343 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 346 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 400 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 399 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 367 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 340 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 327 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 178 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 177 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 222 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 262 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 274 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 324 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 329 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 351 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 397 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 396 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 363 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 330 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 333 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 395 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 398 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 364 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 333 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 318 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 172 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 98 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 112 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 172 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 291 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 336 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 382 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 350 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 433 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 370 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 339 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 362 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 341 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 393 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 363 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 339 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 352 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 331
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 40 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: 15 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: -9 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: -6 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: 2 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: -15 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: 15 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 9 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: 0 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: 7 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: 10 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: 13 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: 13 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: 5 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: 1 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: 3 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: 7 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 10 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 6 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 79 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 110 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 90 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: -17 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: -12 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: -53 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 1 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: -36 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 26 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 24 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: -32 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: -8 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 2 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 35 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 25 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: -19 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: -13
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Surrey Hills was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 110 and account for 3.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 398 persons.

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