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City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast

Box Hill North

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Box Hill North indicate a 6.9% decrease in population under working age, a 20.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Whitehorse is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Box Hill North - Total persons202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46665.36194.56424.4-24
5 to 97065.76164.56434.4-63
10 to 147436.07345.47275.0-16
15 to 197626.18456.28165.6+54
20 to 249237.41,0487.71,0817.5+158
25 to 291,0088.11,1308.21,1978.3+189
30 to 341,0318.31,1598.51,2268.5+195
35 to 399797.91,1438.31,2008.3+221
40 to 448136.51,0797.91,1317.8+318
45 to 498356.71,0427.61,1137.7+278
50 to 548066.57995.89446.5+138
55 to 597385.96895.08125.6+74
60 to 646925.66594.86594.5-33
65 to 695334.36094.45834.0+50
70 to 744133.35624.15483.8+135
75 to 792782.24423.25023.5+224
80 to 842642.13112.34052.8+141
85 and over2772.22091.52761.9-1
Total persons12,467100.013,697100.014,503100.0+2,036
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Box Hill North was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 266 and account for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,159 persons.

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