City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast
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Box Hill

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Box Hill indicate a 90.0% increase in population under working age, a 108.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 112.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Whitehorse is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Box Hill - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45514.61,1994.81,3424.6+791
5 to 93883.27342.98673.0+479
10 to 144543.87142.98693.0+415
15 to 197806.51,8917.62,1107.3+1,330
20 to 241,72414.43,85515.44,16114.4+2,437
25 to 291,74814.63,81515.34,10914.2+2,361
30 to 341,24110.42,69710.82,94810.2+1,707
35 to 397065.91,7787.12,0026.9+1,296
40 to 446685.61,3875.51,6165.6+948
45 to 496725.61,2184.91,4565.0+784
50 to 545935.01,0524.21,3154.5+722
55 to 595654.78913.61,1103.8+545
60 to 644363.67793.19383.2+502
65 to 693492.96912.88563.0+507
70 to 742662.26592.68222.8+556
75 to 792792.35892.48062.8+527
80 to 842412.04541.86922.4+451
85 and over3092.66112.48943.1+585
Total persons11,970100.025,015100.028,913100.0+16,943

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 894 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 692 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 806 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 822 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 856 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 938 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 1,110 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 1,315 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,456 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 1,616 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 2,002 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 2,948 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 4,109 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 4,161 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 2,110 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 869 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 867 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 1,342 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 611 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 454 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 589 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 659 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 691 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 779 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 891 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 1,052 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 1,218 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 1,387 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 1,778 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 2,697 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 3,815 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 3,855 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 1,891 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 714 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 734 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 1,199 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 309 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 241 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 279 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 266 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 349 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 436 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 565 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 593 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 672 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 668 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 706 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,241 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,748 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,724 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 780 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 454 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 388 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 551
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 283 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: 238 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: 217 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: 163 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: 165 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: 159 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: 219 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 263 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: 238 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: 229 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: 224 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: 251 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: 294 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: 305 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: 219 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: 155 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: 133 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 142 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 302 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 213 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 310 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 393 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 342 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 343 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 326 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 459 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 546 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 719 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 1,072 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 1,456 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 2,067 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 2,131 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 1,111 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 260 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 346 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 648
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Box Hill was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 14.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 2,131 and account for 15.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 3,855 persons.

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