City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast
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Box Hill South

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Box Hill South indicate a 1.2% increase in population under working age, a 36.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Whitehorse is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Box Hill South - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44865.54995.24935.0+7
5 to 95356.05185.45145.2-21
10 to 145416.15635.85585.7+17
15 to 196367.27387.67307.4+94
20 to 2488310.08889.28768.9-7
25 to 297218.17377.67297.4+8
30 to 345035.75755.95725.8+69
35 to 395436.15665.95605.7+17
40 to 445846.65946.15886.0+4
45 to 496377.25926.15986.1-39
50 to 545586.35926.15946.0+36
55 to 595356.05675.95615.7+26
60 to 644585.25325.55155.2+57
65 to 693293.74474.64654.7+136
70 to 742803.24094.24444.5+164
75 to 791922.23473.63894.0+197
80 to 842092.42642.73393.4+130
85 and over2392.72422.53063.1+67
Total persons8,869100.09,669100.09,831100.0+962

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 306 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 339 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 389 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 444 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 465 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 515 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 561 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 594 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 598 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 588 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 560 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 572 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 729 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 876 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 730 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 558 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 514 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 493 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 242 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 264 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 347 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 409 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 447 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 532 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 567 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 592 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 592 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 594 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 566 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 575 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 737 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 888 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 738 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 563 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 518 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 499 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 239 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 209 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 192 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 280 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 329 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 458 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 535 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 558 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 637 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 584 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 543 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 503 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 721 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 883 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 636 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 541 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 535 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 486
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 64 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: 75 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: 41 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: 36 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: 18 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: -17 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: -6 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 1 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: 6 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: -6 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: -6 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: -3 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: -8 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: -12 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: -7 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: -4 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: -5 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: -6 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 3 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 55 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 155 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 129 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 118 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 74 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 32 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 34 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: -45 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 10 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 23 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 72 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 16 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 5 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 102 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 22 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: -17 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 13
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Box Hill South was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 10.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 155 and account for 3.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 888 persons.

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